基于GIS的城市火灾应急空间决策支持系统和仿真模型

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1、中国科学技术大学博士学位论文基于GIS的城市火灾应急空间决策支持系统和仿真模型姓名：朱霁平申请学位级别：博士专业：安全工程与技术指导教师：范维澄20040401串蒹^炱=攘簧AbstractTheincreasingoccurrencesanddamagesofurbanfireswiththerapiddevelopmentofcitieshaveattachedgreatattentionsintheworld，ThispaperaimstopresentthemainfeaturesofaSpatialDecisiofiSupportSyst毫

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3、)foremergencyresponseofurbanfires，BasedonthetheoryofPetrinets，acoloredPetrinet(CP№methodisdevelopedinordertosetupaSystematics{mulationmodelefthe融嚣一fightingdispatchingprocess。Sincefireemergencyresponseisonekindofsemi—structureddecisionmakingproblem，it'srlecassat2,'镪develop＆DecisionSupp

4、ortSystemtohelp，whilenotreplace，thedecision·makertofindthebestplanfromagroupofoptionalemergencyplans，Duringtheprocessofdispatching，twomostimportantquestionsshouldbeanswered，≤l≥Howmanyfirebrigadesarerequired?≤2)Whichrouteisthefastestonefordispatching?Theanswersdependonthefactorssuchasf

5、ireobject，occurringIlqoment)position，envimnmentatsituation,weatherconditio遵andtrafficsituation，etc．Mostofthesefactorshavespatialproperties．Inthispaper,theexcellentfimctioasofGISi程managingandanalyzingspatialdata辩integratedintotheCPNmodel，Moredetailedenvironmentalsituationisconsideredfo

6、rjudgingtheleveloffirealarmandrequirementoffirebrigades．Thetrafficofeachs缸-eetduringdifferenttimeperiodsofadayisalsotakenasanimportantparameterinbest—routeanalysis。Basedon8好难platform，therelevantsimulation辨{蹴!isbuiltupbyl麓ean$ofsoftwaredevelopment．ByusingHefeicityandNan’ningcityasdemon

7、strations，varioussortsoffireeaseshavebeentestedbycorrespondingsimulationexpedme-nts，TheresultsindicatethattheDecisionSupportSystemisreasonablefortheurbanfire-fightingdispatchingprocess，Keyword：Urban娃遐Emergency,Decisionsupportsystem，simulation,Geographicinformationsysteln，Petrinets蒸{二G

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