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1、对股市与实体经济的简单认识（Simpleunderstandingofthestockmarketandtherealeconomy）Thesimpleunderstandingofthestockmarketandtherealeconomyis2010-03-1220:33Onthecorrespondingperiodicruleofstock(fictitiouseconomy),realeconomyandmacropolicy1.Generalandperiodicrules,Theexistenceofanythinghasitsinherentexistenceanddevel
2、opmentrule.Theexpressionisfourcycles(germination,growth,maturity,decline).Thisruleexplainstheriseandfallofeverything.Nothingcanbeanexception.Theperiodicruleoftherealeconomy.Performanceisaboom(recovery,boom)-stimulus.Recession(periodofoverheating,depression)-regulationperiod.Andthecycleofstimulation.
3、3.Thelawofstocks(fictitiouseconomy).Performanceistheincrease,thehorizontaldisc,thefall,thecircleofthecircle.4.Thecorrespondingrelationshipbetweenmacropolicyregulationandrealeconomyandvirtualeconomy.Theaimofmacro-policycontrolistoslowdowneconomicfluctuationsandavoideconomicfluctuations,sothatsupplyeq
4、ualsdemandandsteadyeconomicdevelopment.Thetoolsusedarefiscalpolicy,monetarypolicy,industrialpolicy.1.TherelationshipbetweenmacropoliciesandtherealeconomyThewinteroftherealeconomyTherealeconomyingoodtime,andtimesofpoorsentiment,likespring,summer,autumnandwinterseasonscycle,andtheboomalsohaveendlesscy
5、cle,poorsentiment,wecallit"stagnation,depression,onthecontrary,ingoodtime,wecallit"recoveryandprosperity".First,let'sstartwiththesituation.Assoonastherecessionhit,manybusinessesshutdownandshuttheirdoors.Survived,luan,thenextismyturn,allalert,moreenterprisesrelentlesslytolayoffworkers,asaresult,noton
6、lyunemployedpopulationwillincrease,thepeoplealsobecauseofthepaycutandreducethecostofmyheart,tryingtoincreasedeposits,merchantsareinventorygoods,inordertoclearitwillsalesintheformoftheprice.Asaresult,overallpricesarefallingtogether.Peoplearejustsavingmoney,businessesdon'tinvest,andBankshaveexcessmone
7、y.Therewasalotofmoneyinthebank,andnoonewasborrowingit,andnaturally,theinterestwaslowered.TherealeconomyofthiskindofdeclineiswritteninmathematicaltermsasfollowsPotentialoutputdemand+investmentdemand+pr
