game_theory_an_introduction.pdf

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1、GameTheoryAnIntroductionE-BOOKStevenTadelisAPRINCETONUNIVERSITYPRESSGAMETHEORYGAMETHEORYANINTRODUCTIONStevenTadelisPRINCETONUNIVERSITYPRESSPrincetonandOxfordCopyright©2013byPrincetonUniversityPressPublishedbyPrincetonUniversityPress,41WilliamStreet,Princ

2、eton,NewJersey08540IntheUnitedKingdom:PrincetonUniversityPress,6OxfordStreet,Woodstock,OxfordshireOX201TWpress.princeton.eduAllRightsReservedLibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataTadelis,Steve.Gametheory:anintroduction/StevenTadelis.p.cm.Includes

3、bibliographicalreferencesandindex.ISBN978-0-691-12908-2(hbk.:alk.paper)1.Gametheory.I.Title.HB144.T332013519.3dc232012025166BritishLibraryCataloging-in-PublicationDataisavailableThisbookhasbeencomposedinTimesRomanandMyriadusingZzTEXbyPrincetonEditorialAs

4、sociatesInc.,Scottsdale,ArizonaPrintedonacid-freepaper.PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica10987654321ContentsPrefacexiPARTIRationalDecisionMakingChapter1TheSingle-PersonDecisionProblem31.1Actions,Outcomes,andPreferences41.1.1PreferenceRelations51.1.2Payoff

5、Functions71.2TheRationalChoiceParadigm91.3Summary111.4Exercises11Chapter2IntroducingUncertaintyandTime142.1Risk,Nature,andRandomOutcomes142.1.1FiniteOutcomesandSimpleLotteries152.1.2SimpleversusCompoundLotteries162.1.3LotteriesoverContinuousOutcomes172.2

6、EvaluatingRandomOutcomes182.2.1ExpectedPayoff:TheFiniteCase192.2.2ExpectedPayoff:TheContinuousCase202.2.3Caveat:ItsNotJusttheOrderAnymore212.2.4RiskAttitudes222.2.5TheSt.PetersburgParadox232.3RationalDecisionMakingwithUncertainty242.3.1RationalityRevisit

7、ed242.3.2MaximizingExpectedPayoffs242.4DecisionsoverTime262.4.1BackwardInduction262.4.2DiscountingFuturePayoffs282.5Applications292.5.1TheValueofInformation292.5.2DiscountedFutureConsumption312.6TheoryversusPractice322.7Summary332.8Exercises33vvi.Content

8、sPARTIIStaticGamesofCompleteInformationChapter3Preliminaries433.1Normal-FormGameswithPureStrategies463.1.1Example:ThePrisonersDilemma483.1.2Example:CournotDuopoly493.1.3Example:VotingonaNewAgenda493.2MatrixRepresentation:T