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1、WinningwithFuturesThispageintentionallyleftblankWinningwithFuturesTheSmartWaytoRecognizeOpportunities,CalculateRisk,andMaximizeProfitsMichaelC.ThomsettAmericanManagementAssociationNewYork•Atlanta•Brussels•Chicago•MexicoCity•SanFranciscoShanghai•Tokyo•Toronto•Washington,D.C.Specialdiscou
2、ntsonbulkquantitiesofAMACOMbooksareavailabletocorporations,professionalassociations,andotherorganizations.Fordetails,contactSpecialSalesDepartment,AMACOM,adivisionofAmericanManagementAssociation,1601Broadway,NewYork,NY10019.Tel.:212–903–8316.Fax:212–903–8083.Website:www.amacombooks.orgT
3、hispublicationisdesignedtoprovideaccurateandauthoritativeinformationinregardtothesubjectmattercovered.Itissoldwiththeunderstandingthatthepublisherisnotengagedinrenderinglegal,accounting,orotherprofessionalservice.Iflegaladviceorotherexpertassistanceisrequired,theservicesofacompetentprof
4、essionalpersonshouldbesought.LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataThomsett,MichaelC.Winningwithfutures:thesmartwaytorecognizeopportunities,calculaterisk,andmaximizeprofits/MichaelC.Thomsett.p.cm.Includesindex.ISBN-13:978-0-8144-0987-9ISBN-10:0-8144-0987-31.Futures.2.Futuresmarke
5、t.3.Investments.I.Title.HG6024.A3T4782009332.6452—dc2220080263992009MichaelC.Thomsett.Allrightsreserved.PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica.Thispublicationmaynotbereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinwholeorinpart,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,re
6、cording,orotherwise,withoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofAMACOM,adivisionofAmericanManagementAssociation,1601Broadway,NewYork,NY10019.Printingnumber10987654321CONTENTSPrefaceviiPART1:KNOWINGYOURMARKETChapter1—WhatIsaFuturesContract?3Chapter2—HowFuturesTradesAreMade22Chapter3—ReadingFutures
7、Prices38Chapter4—RiskLevelsofFutures53PART2:REACHINGTHEMARKETChapter5—OrderPlacement79Chapter6—FundamentalAnalysisofFutures89Chapter7—TechnicalAnalysisofFutures103Chapter8—TheLeveragedApproach:OptionsonFutures122PART3:CLASSIFICATIONSOFFUTURESChapter9—TheEnergyMarket147Chapter10