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1、HowtheEconomyWorksThispageintentionallyleftblankHowtheEconomyWorksConfidence,CrashesandSelf-FulfillingPropheciesROGERE.A.FARMER120103OxfordUniversityPress,Inc.,publishesworksthatfurtherOxfordUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship,andeducation.OxfordNewYorkAucklandCapeTownDar
2、esSalaamHongKongKarachiKualaLumpurMadridMelbourneMexicoCityNairobiNewDelhiShanghaiTaipeiTorontoWithofficesinArgentinaAustriaBrazilChileCzechRepublicFranceGreeceGuatemalaHungaryItalyJapanPolandPortugalSingaporeSouthKoreaSwitzerlandThailandTurkeyUkraineVietnamCopyright©2010byOxfordUniversityPr
3、ess,Inc.PublishedbyOxfordUniversityPress,Inc.198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016www.oup.comOxfordisaregisteredtrademarkofOxfordUniversityPress.Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopyi
4、ng,recording,orotherwise,withoutthepriorpermissionofOxfordUniversityPress.LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataFarmer,RogerE.A.Howtheeconomyworks:confidence,crashesandself-fulfillingprophecies/RogerE.A.Farmer.p.cm.Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex.ISBN978-0-19-539791-81.Free
5、enterprise.2.Monetarypolicy.3.Economicpolicy.I.Title.HB95.F372010339—dc222009032289987654321PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmericaonacid-freepaperContentsPrefacexiChapter1Introduction1TheCollapseofNorthernRock1ClassicalandKeynesianEconomics3TheSizeofGovernment5EfficientMarkets6TheRoaringTwenties8
6、TheGreatDepression10Stagflation12WhyFiscalPolicyIstheWrongApproach15WhatGovernmentsShouldDoInstead17ANewParadigmandaNewPolicy18Chapter2ClassicalEconomics21HowtheEconomicPiecesFitTogether24DoMarketsWorkWell?28AMark,aYen,aBuck,oraPound...32...IsAllThatMakestheWorldGoAround33HelicopterBen34Eco
7、nomicFrictions36viCONTENTSChapter3TheImpactofKeynesontheWorldEconomy39MaynardKeynes’sNewVision40UnemploymentduringtheGreatDepression41Keynes’sEscapefromClassicalEconomics43KeynesianTheory44KeynesianPolicy46Chapter4WheretheKeynesiansLostTheirWay49Keynes’sTheory
