Expectations, Bond Prices, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates.pdf

Expectations, Bond Prices, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates.pdf

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时间:2019-03-08

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1、Expectations,BondPrices,andtheTermStructureofInterestRatesAuthor(s):BurtonG.MalkielSource:TheQuarterlyJournalofEconomics,Vol.76,No.2(May,1962),pp.197-218Publishedby:TheMITPressStableURL:http://www.jstor.org/stable/1880816Accessed:30/03/201011:35YouruseoftheJSTORarchiveindicatesyo

2、uracceptanceofJSTOR'sTermsandConditionsofUse,availableathttp://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp.JSTOR'sTermsandConditionsofUseprovides,inpart,thatunlessyouhaveobtainedpriorpermission,youmaynotdownloadanentireissueofajournalormultiplecopiesofarticles,andyoumayuseco

3、ntentintheJSTORarchiveonlyforyourpersonal,non-commercialuse.Pleasecontactthepublisherregardinganyfurtheruseofthiswork.Publishercontactinformationmaybeobtainedathttp://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=mitpress.EachcopyofanypartofaJSTORtransmissionmustcontainthesame

4、copyrightnoticethatappearsonthescreenorprintedpageofsuchtransmission.JSTORisanot-for-profitservicethathelpsscholars,researchers,andstudentsdiscover,use,andbuilduponawiderangeofcontentinatrusteddigitalarchive.Weuseinformationtechnologyandtoolstoincreaseproductivityandfacilitatenew

5、formsofscholarship.FormoreinformationaboutJSTOR,pleasecontactsupport@jstor.org.TheMITPressiscollaboratingwithJSTORtodigitize,preserveandextendaccesstoTheQuarterlyJournalofEconomics.http://www.jstor.orgEXPECTATIONS,BONDPRICES,ANDTHETERMSTRUCTUREOFINTERESTRATES*BURTONG.MALKIELIntro

6、duction,197.-Themathematicsofbondprices,199.-Expectationsandthetermstructureofrates,206.-Alteringsomeoftheassumptions,214.Concludingremarks,218.INTRODUCTIONTherelationofshort-termtolong-termyieldshasoftenintriguedbotheconomictheoristsandinvestmentanalysts.Thisrelationship,usually

7、referredtoasthestructureofinterestrates,hasbeencharac-terizedbysignificantlydivergentpatterns.Despitetheconsiderableattentiondevotedtothequestion,rate-structuretheoryremainsinanuncomfortablestateofconfusion.Inaddition,anunfortunatelacunastillexistsbetweenthewritingsofeconomictheo

8、ristsandthepracticesofbondtradersandinst

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