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1、CATASTROPHEMODELING:ANEWAPPROACHTOMANAGINGRISKHuebnerInternationalSeriesonRisk,Insurance,andEconomicSecurityJ.DavidCummins,EditorTheWhartonSchoolUniversityofPennsylvaniaPhiladelphia,Pennsylvania,USASeriesAdvisors:Dr.PhelimP.BoyleUniversityofWaterloo,CanadaDr.Je
2、anLemaireUniversityofPennsylvania,USAProfessorAkihikoTsuboiKagawaUniversity,JapanDr.RichardZeckhauserHarvardUniversity,USAOtherbooksintheseries:Cummins,J.DavidandDerrig,RichardA.:ClassicalInsuranceSolvencyTheoryBorba,PhilipS.andAppel,David:Benefits,Costs,andCyc
3、lesinWorkers’CompensationCummins,J.DavidandDerrig,RichardA.:FinancialModelsofInsuranceSolvencyWilliams,C.Arthur:AnInternationalComparisonofWorkers’CompensationCummins,J.DavidandDerrig,RichardA.:ManagingtheInsolvencyRiskofInsuranceCompaniesDionne,Georges:Contrib
4、utionstoInsuranceEconomicsDionne,GeorgesandHarrington,ScottE.:FoundationsofInsuranceEconomicsKlugman,StuartA.:BayesianStatisticsinActuarialScienceDurbin,DavidandBorba,Philip:Workers’CompensationInsurance:ClaimCosts,PricesandRegulationCummins,J.David:FinancialMa
5、nagementofLifeInsuranceCompaniesGustavson,SandraG.andHarrington,ScottE.:Insurance,RiskManagement,andPublicPolicyLemaire,Jean:Bonus-MalusSystemsinAutomobileInsuranceDionne,GeorgesandLaberge-Nadeau:AutomobileInsurance:RoadSafety,NewDrivers,Risks,InsuranceFraudand
6、RegulationTaylor,Greg:LossReserving:AnActuarialPerspectiveDionne,Georges:HandbookofInsuranceSinha,Tapen:PensionReforminLatinAmericaandItsLessonsforInternationalPolichmakersLascher,Jr.,EdwardL.andPowers,MichaelR.:TheEconomicsandPoliticsofChoiceNo-FaultInsuranceG
7、rossi,PatriciaandKunreuther,Howard:CatastropheModeling:ANewApproachtoManagingRiskCATASTROPHEMODELING:ANEWAPPROACHTOMANAGINGRISKPATRICIAHOWARDGROSSIKUNREUTHERManagingEditorsRiskManagementandDecisionProcessesCenterTheWhartonSchoolUniversityofPennsylvaniaassistedb
8、yCHANDUC.PATEL,FCAS,MAAA(EDITOR)SpringereBookISBN:0-387-23129-3PrintISBN:0-387-23082-3©2005SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,Inc.Print©2005SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,Inc.Bost