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1、SecondInternationalSevilleSeminaronFuture-OrientedTechnologyAnalysis:ImpactofFTAApproachesonPolicyandDecision-Making–SEVILLE28-29SEPTEMBER2006CANONLINESOCIALNETWORKSBEUSEDINFORWARD-LOOKINGSTUDIES?OlivierDaCosta,RominaCachia,RamónCompañóInstituteforProspectiveandTechnologicalStu
2、diesJointResearchCentre/EuropeanCommissionEdificioExpo/CalleIncaGarcilasos/nE-41092SEVILLAolivier.da-costa@ec.europa.euAbstract“Socialnetworkingsites”havegainedunprecedentedpopularityintherecentyears.Withinsuchonlinenetworksmemberscanchat,interactwithothermembers,contributetofo
3、rumdiscussions,sharepictures,videos,musicfilesororganiseevents.Somecommunitywebsitescomprisetensofmillionsofmembersfromallcontinents.Thecreationofnetworksandtheirwayofoperatingisbecominganemergingacademicresearchtopicinsocialsciencesanditspotentialforcommercialuseiscurrentlyexp
4、lored.Thenewmodalitiesoflargescaleinteraction,thehugesizeofcommunities,theimmensebroadnessthematictopicsandthefactthatmostusersareyoungsters(thosewhowillshapethesocietyinafewdecades)areworthwhileinvestigatingitspotentialforforward-lookingstudies.Asastartingpoint,twomajoroptions
5、forexploitingsocialnetworksforthispurposeseemtoemerge:oneasaninformationsourcefor"weaksignals"ofupcomingtrendsandtheotheroneasanovellarge-scaleinteractivetoolthatcouldbeemployedwithinforesightactivities.Withregardtothefirstone,communicationexchangeofthoughtsandopinionsamongstpa
6、rticipantsintheforumsoffersaformidablesourceofinformationandknowledge.Thisinformationbecomesevenmoresignificantifjuxtaposedagainstcontributorprofilesandbehaviouralpatterns.Insuchway,emergingsocialtrendsmightbedetected.Similarapproachesarealreadyusedinmarketresearchandcouldbetra
7、nsferredtoforward-lookingstudies.Secondly,onlinesocialnetworkscanbeseenauniquetoolformonitoringlargeinteractinggroups.Inaddition,thecontentsandtheywayadiscussionprocesstakesplacecanbetracedback.Inthispaper,theauthorsaimattriggeringthinkinganddiscussiononthepotentialofthisemergi
8、ngphenomenonwithinforward-lookingstudies,ratherthancla