introduction-to-probability.pdf

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1、Introduction to Probability Probability Examples c1 Leif Mejlbro Download free books at LeifMejlbroProbabilityExamplesc-1IntroductiontoProbability2ProbabilityExamplesc-1–IntroductiontoProbability©2009LeifMejlbro&VentusPublishingApSISBN978-87-7681-515-83IntroductiontoProbabili

2、tyContentsContentsIntroduction51Sometheoreticalbackground62Settheory103Samplingwithandwithoutreplacement124Playingcards195Miscellaneous276Binomialdistribution357Lotto388Huyghens’exercise399Ballsinboxes4110Conditionalprobabilities,Bayes’sformula4211Stochasticindependency/depen

3、dency4812Probabilitiesofeventsbysettheory5113Therencontreproblemandsimilarexamples5314Strategyingames5715Bertrand’sparadox59Index61Fast-trackyourcareerMastersinManagementStandoutfromthecrowdDesignedforgraduateswithlessthanoneyearoffull-timepostgraduateworkexperience,LondonBus

4、inessSchool’sMastersinManagementwillexpandyourPleaseclicktheadvertthinkingandprovideyouwiththefoundationsforasuccessfulcareerinbusiness.Theprogrammeisdevelopedinconsultationwithrecruiterstoprovideyouwiththekeyskillsthattopemployersdemand.Through11monthsoffull-timestudy,youwil

5、lgainthebusinessknowledgeandcapabilitiestoincreaseyourcareerchoicesandstandoutfromthecrowd.LondonBusinessSchoolApplicationsarenowopenforentryinSeptember2011.Regent’sParkLondonNW14SAUnitedKingdomFormoreinformationvisitwww.london.edu/mim/Tel+44(0)2070007573Emailmim@london.eduem

6、ailmim@london.eduorcall+44(0)2070007573www.london.edu/mim/4IntroductiontoProbabilityIntroductionIntroductionThisisthefirstbookofexamplesfromtheTheoryofProbability.Thistopicisnotmyfavourite,however,thankstomyformercolleague,OleJørsboe,Isomehowmanagedtogetanideaofwhatitisallabou

7、t.ThewayIhavetreatedthetopicwilloftendivergefromthemoreprofessionaltreatment.Ontheotherhand,itwillprobablyalsobeclosertothewayofthinkingwhichismorecommonamongmanyreaders,becauseIalsohadtostartfromscratch.Unfortunatelyerrorscannotbeavoidedinafirsteditionofaworkofthistype.Howeve

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