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1、Seediscussions,stats,andauthorprofilesforthispublicationat:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/292463712Probabilisticenergyflowanalysisinintegratedelectricityandnatural-gasenergysystemsArticle·December2015DOI:10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.2015.24.008CITATIONSREADS82547
2、authors,including:ShengChenZhinongWeiHohaiUniversityHohaiUniversity26PUBLICATIONS137CITATIONS196PUBLICATIONS806CITATIONSSEEPROFILESEEPROFILEYimaoSunHaixiangZangUniversityofElectronicScienceandTechnologyofChinaHohaiUniversity870PUBLICATIONS9,612CITATIONS64PUBLICATIONS171
3、CITATIONSSEEPROFILESEEPROFILESomeoftheauthorsofthispublicationarealsoworkingontheserelatedprojects:Three-phaseStateEstimationinDistributionSystemsBasedonPseudoMeasurementModelingUsingSpikingNeuralNetworkViewprojectEnergyStorageViewprojectAllcontentfollowingthispagewasup
4、loadedbyShengChenon15February2016.Theuserhasrequestedenhancementofthedownloadedfile.第35卷第24期中国电机工程学报Vol.35No.24Dec.20,20152015年12月20日ProceedingsoftheCSEE©2015Chin.Soc.forElec.Eng.6331DOI：10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.2015.24.008文章编号：0258-8013(2015)24-6331-10中图分类号：TM744电–气混
5、联综合能源系统概率能量流分析1112111陈胜，卫志农，孙国强，王丹，孙永辉，臧海祥，朱瑛(1．可再生能源发电技术教育部工程研究中心(河海大学)，江苏省南京市210098；2．智能电网教育部重点实验室(天津大学)，天津市南开区300072)ProbabilisticEnergyFlowAnalysisinIntegratedElectricityandNatural-gasEnergysystems1112111CHENSheng,WEIZhinong,SUNGuoqiang,WANGDan,SUNYonghui,ZANGHaixia
6、ng,ZHUYing(1.ResearchCenterforRenewableEnergyGenerationEngineering,MinistryofEducation,HohaiUniversity,Nanjing210098,JiangsuProvince,China;2.KeyLaboratoryofSmartGridofMinistryofEducation(TianjinUniversity),NankaiDistrict,Tianjin300072,China)ABSTRACT:Integratedenergysyst
7、ems(IES),consistingof能量流分析中，计及了EPS、NGS之间3方面的耦合：thecouplingandinteractionsbetweenelectricpowersystems1）燃气轮机组；2）电力驱动加压站；3）能源集线器。在(EPS)andnatural-gassystems(NGS),areexpectedtoplayanIES稳态能量流的基础上，考虑了电、气、热负荷以及风电importantroleinconstructingtheeconomic,eco-friendly,and场出力的不确定性，并
8、采用蒙特卡罗模拟法求解IES概率能efficientenergysystems.Meanwhile,duetothefactthatIES量流。算例分析表明，NGS(或EPS)中不确定性因素会对areconfronted
