基于itsip模型和imslp模型的宝鸡市水资源配置-研究

《基于itsip模型和imslp模型的宝鸡市水资源配置-研究》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。

1、uncertaintyproblem．Thismodelcanreflectthesystemandthedynamiccomplexitiesinwaterresourceallocationbyamultilayerdiscretescenariotreeovertheentiremulti—stageframework．(3)TotakeBalicityasexampleformulti—sourceswatersystemoptimalallocation．theITSIPmodelisused．I

2、tisshownbytheresultsthatthismodelcandealwithuncertaintvreasonably,andobtainthebinaryandcontinuousvariablesatthesametime．Andthismodelcanhelpwaterresourcesmanagerstodrawupwaterallocationpolicyagainstwatershortageandforwaterdiversioncontrol，withminimizedsySte

3、mcostandsystemfailurerisk．InfuturethesituationofwatersupplyofBa@isstillrigorous，itisimperativetoexploitnewwatersourceorsavewater．(4)Acasestudyofmulti—userallocationofFe．ngiiashanReservoirispresentedtodemonstratetheapplicabilityoftheIMSLPmodelwiththestructu

4、reof1-3．9．27，itisshownbytheresultsthatthismodelcannotonlyhandleuncertaintiesbetter,butalsocanreflectdynamicdecisionmakingprocessofwaterresourcesallocationineachplanningtimeperiod，underdiscreteformofmulti．scenario．Thisallowscorrectactionstobetakeninareal．ti

5、memannerbasedonthepredefinedpoliciesandminimizethepenaltyforwaterdeficitandtheriskofnotreachesthepredeterminedtarget，solutionoftheIMSLPmodelarehelpfulforwaterresourcemanagergaininginsightintothetradeoffsbetweenthesystemeconomicbenefitandcorrespondingdecisi

6、onriskormisplayoffinancialdecision．Keywords：waterresource，uncertainty,two-stage，multistage，stochasticprogrammingAcknowledgement：TheresearchissupportedbytheNaturalScienceFoundationofChina(No．50779052)，andtheKeyLabFoundationofShanxiDepartmentofEducation(Yo．0

7、8JZ55)．目录一——————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————一1绪论⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯·l1．1研究背景及意义⋯．．．．．．．．．．．⋯．⋯．．．⋯．．．．⋯⋯⋯⋯．．．．⋯．．．11．1．1我国水资源现状⋯．．．⋯⋯⋯⋯．．⋯．．．．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯11．1．2我国城市水资源利用中存在的问题⋯．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．21．1．3研究的目的意义⋯⋯⋯⋯．⋯．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．⋯．⋯⋯．．．．31．2国内外研

8、究进展⋯⋯．⋯．⋯⋯．⋯⋯⋯．．．．⋯⋯．．⋯．．．⋯．．．．．31．2．1国外水资源配置研究⋯⋯．．．⋯．．．⋯．⋯⋯⋯．．⋯⋯⋯．．．．．41．2．2国内水资源配置研究进展⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．51．2．3城市水资源配置研究进展⋯．⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯81．2．4水资源配置已有成果及发展趋势⋯．⋯．．．⋯⋯⋯．⋯．．⋯．．．．．．91．3本文主要研究内容及技术路线⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯．．⋯⋯⋯⋯92水