中欧贸易航线集装箱班轮运价的研究

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1、StudyonChina—EUtraderouteContainerLinerFreightAbstractChina—EUtradeisanimportantpartofforeigntrade，Cmna-EUtraderouteshaVecontinuedgr0、机hinrecentyears，bilateraltradeVolumereached562．6billiondollarsin20l0．While90％ofChina—EUtradeisdonebyseatransport，containertransportisanimponantwayof

2、maritimetransport．TheorderlydeVelopmentofcontainerlinershippingmarketisanimportantguaranteeofChina—EUtrade．Animponantmessagetorcflectthehealthofthecontainertransportmarketiscontainerf．reightrateleVels．’rherefore，bystudyingtheimpactoffactorsofcontainerf．reightonChina—EUtraderoutes，w

3、ecangraspthechangesoftari氲ItwillbenefitthehealthydeVelopmentofcontainertransportindust巧andChina。sf-0reigntrade．Firstofall，westudytheleVelofCCFIindexonChina-EUrDuteswhichreflectcontajnerf．rei曲tofChina-EUroutes．Andwecanpointoutthatthe2006-20lOEU仔ei曲tcontainerlinerrouteshaVebeenmnning

4、Ili曲auldh懿relativelyla唱efluctuations．7rhenthisthesisutilizesthedemandandsupplytheory，懿wellaSmarketstmcturctheoD，analyzetllemaininnuencefactorSinfour嬲pects，whicharethemarket’sdemandandsupply，conduct，structure，锄dextemalsupervision．BecauseoftIledimcult)，ofcollectingdata，wechoosetheChi

5、m-EU的devolume觚dCCFIChina—EUroutesindex嬲theobjectofEmpiricalstudy．ByGrangercausalit)，tcstsho、vsacausalrelationshipbetweenthe卅ofactors锄ddrawcointegrationequation．ThroughtheaboVe跏alysiswegetthefollowingconclusion：(1)marketsupplyanddemandfactorS．MarketdemandisduetotheincreasingChina-EU

6、trade．MarketsupplyisthemajorshippinglinesserVingcapacityonChina-EUroutes．Thistwofacto璐worktogethertoimpactthetarimIfChina-EUtradeincreasethedemandforcontainertraffic，bu“tcannotincreasecapacitywithinashontime，thetari厅willincrease；IfChina-EUtradeVolumereducethedem狮dforcontainertmmc，w

7、hilethemomentcapacitycannotbewithdra、Vn，tariffswillfall．(2)marketstructurefactors．Throughthe锄alysisofmarketconcentrationonChina—EUroutesofContainerliner咖nsportmarket，wecansummarizeitisalreadyintheoligopolymarket．T饥entyla唱estgloballinercompanieshasaccountedforalmostallshare0nChim—EU

8、routes．TheyalsoproVidenon—