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ID:32256818
大小:11.27 MB
页数:169页
时间:2019-02-02
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1、A.BSTRACTSince也efirsttraf氍caccidentresultedinthedeathofahumanbeing,Vehlcleshavethreatenedthesa代tyofpeople’slivesandpropertydespitetheirundoubtedbenetIts·Intersectionsareoneofthemostdangerouslocationsontheroadnetwork,beca?setheyareaconVergencepointofvehicleStravelingonconn沁tingpaths
2、wltll叭:rvel:iclesandpedestrians.Intersectionsare“soacontribut协gfactortotrathccongcstionandhaveahi曲prevalenceofseVereside.impactcraSh∥Ihe蛐re,IntersectioncrashesareresponsibleforasubstaIltialportionoftramccrashesandtramccrashcasualties.InordertodeVelopmoreeffectiVesafetycounte‘measur
3、estoimDrovetra伍csafetyatinterSections,abetterunderstandingofintersectloncrashes1sFirstly,adescriptiveepidemiDlogicalstudyofintersectioncrasheswascamedou‘toestablishthefrequencyofcasualtyintersectioncrashesbycateg0ry.ThedataSetexaminedwasprovidedbyVicRoads,thestateroadauthorityinVic
4、toria,Austrana,fortheperiodJanuary2000toDecember2009.Inaddition,thecirculardistmtlonmethodwasusedtoinvestigatetemporalpatternsincasualtyintersectioncrasnes·LogisticregressionisananalysismethodusedinanalyticepidemiologythathasbeenproventobeareliablemeansofreVeanngtherelationshipbetw
5、eenthereSponseaIldexplanatoryvamleswithintheroadaccidentdomain·Inthisstudy,alogisllc卿essionwasconductedinordeTtoreVealtheriSkfactorsaffectingtheseVe螂。士interSectioncrashesinVictoria,Australia.mpoteIltialriSl(factors1deIltitledincludeddrivercharacteriStics,vehiclefeatureS’enVironment
6、andmd王actorsandWhilethelogisticre鲈essionmethodwasusedasastatisticalinterpretatlontoolotintersectioncrashes,aninnovativestepwasincludedthatemployedfaulttreea11alyslsfFT∞asasystematicinterpretationt00l,focusingontheidentificationofthebaslceventsthatcanleadtoaninterSectioncrash.ByconS
7、tructingafaulttree,thlsmethodcandeScnbethelogicalprocessfrombasicfailureeVents(contributingfactors)tojhetoDoutcomeevent(intersectioncrash)topresenthowthetopeVenthappens·Dunngthisstudyapilotfaulttreeanalysiswasproducedtocategorizethecontnbutlngfactorstointersectioncrashes.Thedatafor
8、theanalysiswasbasedonInter
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