甘肃中部水资源承载能力与可持续发展的的研究

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1、AbstractSTU=DYONⅥ娜RRESOURCESCARRYINGCAPACITYANDSUSTAINABLEDEVEI。OPMENT玳啦MIDDLEREGl0NOFGANSUPROVDICEABSTRACTFacedwiththeproblemsofthewaterresourcesshortageendthefragileecosystemenvironmenLit’simportanttoChinesewesternregionmakethedevelopmentofsocietyandresourcesinrationalwaysunderthestrategyof'’we

2、sternregiongreatdevelopment”．Therefore，howtomoderatetherelationshipsofthewaterregourozsendpopulation，societyandeconomy,how-tohandletherelationshipsofdevelopmentandpmtcetion，isakeyproblemtowesternregion．TheStudyingregionincludesYuzhong，Weiyuen，Lintao，Dingxi，Longxi，endHuiningsixcountiesinthemiddler

3、egionofGensupmvince．thetotalamountofwaterresourcesinthestudyingregionis214millionm3，thetotalsiLrfacewaterresourcesis148millionm3，thetotalgroundwateris29million一．Thewaterresourtcesdevelopmentdegreeinfeintsituationisupto66．7％，thoughhigheris，thesocialeconomiclevelislowerandtheecosystemenvironmentisd

4、egeneratedseriously．Howeverthecontradictionofthewatersupplyenddemandwillmoreoutstandingalongwiththesocietydevelopment．Therefore,itisnecessarythattomakeacorrectanalysisendforecastofthefuturewaterre．sourcesinscientificwaysinordertomaintainthesustainabledevelopmentofthestudyingregion．Whatisthepaper’

5、Spurposeisjusttoexploreanewwayforthemiddleregi∞ofGensuprovincetodevelopit’Seconomy,society,ecosystemharmoniouslythroughthestudyingofthewaterl'esour∞scarryingcapacity．1．Takingeconomy,society,ecosystem豳acomprehensiveobjective．thepaperanalyzedthepresentwrccwiththemulti-objeetivemodel．Itconcludedthat

6、underthedevelopmentobjectiveofthreedifferentprqjects，theregiononlycouldsupport599．7'536．6，461．5thousandspeopletolivewhileeachprojectmeetthedevelopmentobjectiveofeconomy,societyendecosystem．Sothepresentpeoplethatabout135．11tenthousandsisoverloaded．2．Accordingtotheobjectiveofdevelopmentofthestudyin

7、gregion，madeaforecastofthewaterdemandthatmeetthesustainabledevelopmentnnderthedifferentprojmscenario．Itstatedthatunderthebestsustainabledevelopmentproject．whilein2020，thepeople’SThemasterpaperoflanzhouuniversitynumbers