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1、广州市产业结构与能源消费碳排放分析摘要：随着经济的不断发展，产业机构不断优化升级，从经济及其相关产业发展的角度探讨碳排放问题，能较为严谨的判断和把握影响能源消费碳排放量的因素，因地制宜的制定产业的发展与能源消费碳排放之间协调发展的政策。本文基于广州市1990-2011的产业结构变动与能源消费碳排放的相关数据，在已有的理论基础上，对广州市产业结构变动与含碳能源消费发生的二氧化碳排放量进行协整分析。应用灰色关联分析方法,验证了1990-2011年来本市产业结构优化调整与能源消费碳排放之间的联系。本文采用灰色关联分析方法，本市能源消费总
2、量能源消费结构，能源消费总量，能源利用效率对经济增长的影响逐渐超过了物质资本,能源利用效率小于经济增长与能源消费总量的关联度。综上,将来在重视物质资本投入以维持经济发展的同时，更要着眼于改善调整提高能源利用效率，改善能源消费结构。analysisTheeco-circumstancesindustrialstructureandenergyconsumptioncarbonemissionsinGuangzhou(CollegeofResources,EnvironmentalScienceandEngineering,Hubei
3、UniversityofScienceandTechnology,Xianning437100,China)Facultyadviser：CHENZhiAbstract：Withthecontinuousdevelopmentofeconomy,theconstantoptimizationandupgradingofindustrialstructure,fromtheAngleofeconomicdevelopmentanditsrelatedindustries,discussestheissueofcarbonemissi
4、ons,canmoreprecisejudgmentandgraspthefactorsthataffectenergyconsumptioncarbonemissions,adjustmeasurestolocalconditions,formulateindustrydevelopmentandthecoordinateddevelopmentbetweenenergyconsumptioncarbonemissionspolicy.Thisarticle,basedontheindustrialstructurechange
5、ofeco-circumstancesand1990-2011isassociatedwithenergyconsumptioncarbonemissionsdata,onthebasisofexistingtheory,theeco-circumstancesandchangeofindustrialstructureandcarboncarbondioxideemissionsfromenergyconsumptionofcointegrationanalysis.Applicationofgreyrelationanalys
6、ismethod,verifiedthe1990-2011years,thecity'sindustrialstructureoptimizationadjustmentandtherelationshipbetweenenergyconsumptioncarbonemissions.Resultsshowthat:usinggreycorrelationanalysismethod,thetotalenergyconsumptioninenergyconsumptionstructure,thetotalenergyconsum
7、ption,energyefficiencyoneconomicgrowthwasmorethanphysicalcapitalgradually,theinfluenceofenergyefficiencyislessthantheeconomicgrowthandenergyconsumptionofthetotalcorrelationdegree.Inconclusion,attachesgreatimportancetothematerialcapitalinvestmentinthefuturetomaintainec
8、onomicdevelopmentatthesametime,morefocusonimprovetheadjustmenttoimproveenergyuseefficiency,improvetheenergyconsumptionstruct
