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1、哈尔滨工业大学工程硕士学位论文AbstractChinasouthindustriesgroupcorporationistheworldtop500companieswiththeamountofTBleveldatawhichissuitableforconstructingadatawarehousetoassistenterprisesinriskprediction.Riskassessmentandpredictionmoduleusesriskassessmentdataforriskdecisionasabasis,utilize
2、sdemonstrationofgraphsandreportstocaculateandpredicttheGroup'srisk.ThisthesisisbasedontheGourp’ssystemwhichislyingonthedatawarehouse,anddeeplyresearchesintheaspectsofriskassessmentandprediction.Firstofall,itborrowsthedomesticandinternationalrelevantassessmentandpredictiontech
3、nologies,analysestherisktransactionsofGroupandarrangesrelevanttransactionsandroledemands.Then,wedesignedtheriskassessmentandpredictionfunctionincludingriskassessmentmoduleandriskpredictionmoduleaccordingtothebusinessrequirementsofGroup.Riskassessmentmainlycollectsriskincident
4、sbyprovidingquestionnairewhichisthefoundationofenterprisedecisionsupport.Riskassessmentmodulemainlyincludestheassessmentofbasicinformation,managementofquestionnaire,assessmentofquestionnaire,theverificationofquestionnaireandquestionnairestatistics.Riskpredictionisthemoduleofr
5、iskinformationstatisticsandforecast.Riskpredictionmodulemajorlyincludesleaderandstaff’sworkingplatforms,thepatternfigureofrisk,managementofriskmodel,riskincidentsstatisticsandthewarningofspecificationmodel.Amongthem,thesub-moduleofspecificationwarningusestheBPneuralnetworkalg
6、orithm,decisiontreealgorithmandoptimizedgeneticalgorithmbasedBPneuralnetworkalgorithm.BPneuralalgorithmmeanstheforecastofenterprisestrategyandoperationrisk.Decisiontreealgorithmistheforecastofenterpriseriskincidentitems.ThegeneticalgorithmbasedBPneuralnetworkalgorithmismoresu
7、itablefortheforecastofenterprisegainsandlossesbecausetheadditionofgeneticfactors.Intermsofthetechnicalarchitectureoftheriskassessmentandpredictionmodule,theriskassessmentandriskpredictionmodulesadoptJAVASSHframeworkandMVCpattern.Intermsofdataacquisition,itusesORACLEOWBtoolwhi
8、chcancompletethefunctionsofdataextraction,cleaning,transformation,ag