实验一指导书

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1、实验指导书：实验目的：掌握一元线性回归模型的估计方法。实验要求：选择方程进行一元线性回归。实验原理：普通最小二乘法（OLS）实验数据：东莞市经济部分数据、广东省宏观经济部分数据。表expl-1东莞市宏观经济数据年份国内生产总值第一产业增加值第二产业增加值第三产业增加值财政收入财政支出GDPGDP1GDP2GDP3REVEXB197861122272352678171066604179219796548726680285671024066341908198070440267623176611912671

2、0201519818781733595400621416068232139198210840538510529351696081032612198312164341529613371877785782804198414634047994678483049884693013198520378465138989463970011118499919862664748698311253166960160539916198734160110582514354592231202211252119884698641

3、2913622369711703127076174751989506114138619216161151334318882162319906461501466373059401935733513922198199174841514978837106622756142436267881992845409161800426925256684562043816219931149478162960614341372177938287291019941545383199519821302524562130532

4、88984199520562732466481121058688567179063124173续表expl-1社会消费品零城乡储蓄工业品零售价第二产业固定资产第二产业劳动时间年份售额存款格指数净值/万者人数变量/万元/万元/%元/人SLCKSPASNKF2LT2T1978212695409100.0105959260111979245887184100.312809130211219803067411718101.713699142273319813845520339103.6163321399964

5、19824535827651105.818063162932519834852638597106.324132204435619846763961823108.428730240330719858441691941113.24377323275381986108735131352118.25543726428991987131723189653129.374197281926101988212585248395162.8106955286785111989229697325670194.5242696

6、291640121990267664455140189.1303430305190131991301052614737190.6413600323235141992360416815404195.05419663499591519935099711071713225.28335983842191619946718431515445256.111859013802491719958785162329685285.2146141640792318年份消费/亿元投资/亿元净调出/亿元支出法/亿元劳动报酬/亿

7、元折旧/亿元XFTZCKGDPLBZJ1978125.7154.7913.64194.14112.5821.071979144.3753.8917.17215.43126.6423.671980187.0063.638.69259.32151.0928.251981206.2790.038.92305.22175.1633.281982236.32108.304.51349.13207.0938.111983254.89110.252.22367.36222.0241.821984294.56142.

8、528.98446.06274.3352.061985372.95214.97-18.94568.98343.3865.661986440.60234.43-24.04650.99393.1177.991987542.27287.70-14.92815.05486.3999.731988722.87406.200.571129.64662.14135.891989849.19477.0122.341348.54769.17169.991990916.14