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1、DerekGrossman,NathanBeauchamp-Mustafaga,LoganMa,MichaelS.ChaseChina’sLong-RangeBomberFlightsDriversandImplicationsPrefaceSinceMarch2015,Chinahasconductedaseriesoflong-rangestrategicbomberflightsthroughouttheAsia-Pacificregion,includingovertheSouthChinaSea,nearJapan,andaround
2、Taiwan.TheseflightshaveunsettledChina’sneighborsandhaveamplifiedquestionsoverBeijing’sstrategyforhandlingsovereigntydisputes.ChinesepresidentXiJinping,newlyemboldenedbytheeliminationoftermlimits,hasprioritizeddevelopmentofthePeople’sLiberationArmyAirForce(PLAAF)totransformit
3、intoa“world-class”and“strategicairforce”capableofexecutingmultiplestrategic-levelmissionsfarfromChineseshores.RecentbomberflightsareanactualizationofXi’sintent,withimportantconsequencesforU.S.interestsintheregion.TheresearchreportedherewascommissionedbytheUnitedStatesAirForc
4、eandconductedwithintheStrategyandDoctrineProgramofRANDProjectAIRFORCEaspartofanFY2017projectonthegrowingreachofChineseaerospacepower.RANDProjectAIRFORCERANDProjectAIRFORCE(PAF),adivisionoftheRANDCorporation,istheU.S.AirForce’sfederallyfundedresearchanddevelopmentcenterforstu
5、diesandanalyses.PAFprovidestheAirForcewithindependentanalysesofpolicyalternativesaffectingthedevelopment,employment,combatreadiness,andsupportofcurrentandfutureair,space,andcyberforces.Researchisconductedinfourprograms:ForceModernizationandEmployment;Manpower,Personnel,andTr
6、aining;ResourceManagement;andStrategyandDoctrine.TheresearchreportedherewaspreparedundercontractFA7014-16-D-1000.AdditionalinformationaboutPAFisavailableonourwebsite:http://www.rand.org/paf/ThisreportdocumentsworkoriginallysharedwiththeU.S.AirForceinDecember2017.Thedraftrepo
7、rt,issuedonJanuary18,2018,wasreviewedbyformalpeerreviewersandU.S.AirForcesubject-matterexperts.ContentsPrefaceiiiFiguresvSummaryviAcknowledgmentsxAbbreviationsxi1.Introduction1MethodologyandSources62.CatalogingPLAAFBomberFlightsintheAsia-Pacific7FlightsintotheWesternPacific1
8、3FlightsintotheSouthChinaSea17FlightsAroundTaiwan20FlightsnearJapan253.Driv
