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时间:2018-12-03
《外资利用与我国进出口贸易关系的实证分析》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、外资利用与我国进出口贸易关系的实证分析外资利用与我国进出口贸易关系的实证分析摘要:利用外资与发展进出口贸易,是我国扩大对外开放过程中两个重要的方面,有效地提高了我们利用国内国外两种资源、两个市场的能力。利用外资和发展进出口贸易相互联系,相互促进。本文通过对近二十多年来我国发展实践的研究,认为二者是密不可分的。外资利用有力推动了我国进出口持续、健康的发展,并且外商直接投资的作用日益显著。关键词:进出口外资外商直接投资ABSTRACT:Utilizingforeigncapitalanddevelopingexportandimporttrad
2、earetportantaspectsinourcountry'sprocessofexpandingopeningtotheoutsidearketathomeandabroad.Thetoteasentpracticeoflatesttotesthesustainableandheathdevelopmentofimportandexport,andtheeffectofforeigndirectinvestmentisincreasinglyoutstanding.KEY=»α0+α1lnFDI+α2lnFL+α3lnFO
3、I+et,其中:lnIM———取对数后的进口lnFDI———取对数后的外商直接投资lnFL———取对数后的对外借款lnFOI———取对数后的外商其他投资α0、α1、α2、α3均为待定系数et为随机误差项lnXM=»λ0+λ1lnFDI+λ2lnFL+λ3lnFOI+ξ,其中:lnXM———取对数后的进出口总额lnFDI———取对数后的外商直接投资lnFL———取对数后的对外借款lnFOI———取对数后的外商其他投资λ0、λ1、λ2、λ3均为待定系数,ξt为随机误差项4模型的估计和检验4.1模型的估计用Eviee:12:05Sam
4、ple:19852000Includedobservations:16VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C3.6087790.7357214.9050910.0004LNFDI0.3679070.0770384.7756620.0005LNFL0.2793930.2355081.1863410.2584LNFOI0.1208360.0423572.8527980.0145R-squared0.951497Meandependentvar6.779568AdjustedR-squared0
5、.939371S.D.dependentvar0.701176S.E.ofregression0.172650Akaikeinfocriterion-0.462786Sumsquaredresid0.357695Sche:12:07Sample:19852000Includedobservations:16VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C5.2219670.49800110.485870.0000LNFDI0.3785650.0521467.2597100.0000LNFL-0.09
6、12390.159412-0.5723440.5777LNFOI0.0901340.0286713.1437280.0085R-squared0.963592Meandependentvar6.772717AdjustedR-squared0.954490S.D.dependentvar0.547809S.E.ofregression0.116864Akaikeinfocriterion-1.243286Sumsquaredresid0.163888Sche:12:08Sample:19852000Includedobservations:
7、16VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C5.1896440.5517379.4060170.0000LNFDI0.3771030.0577736.5273500.0000LNFL0.0718000.1766130.4065390.6915LNFOI0.1067860.0317653.3618020.0057R-squared0.964980Meandependentvar7.473900AdjustedR-squared0.956225S.D.dependentvar0.618827S.
8、E.ofregression0.129475Akaikeinfocriterion-1.038347Sumsquaredresid0.201164Sche:13:35Sample
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