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1、中部六省入境旅游流流量与流质演化研究石张宇（安庆师范大学资源环境学院，安徽安庆246133）摘要：持续、均衡、大规模、高质量的旅游流对旅游目的地发展具有重要意义。基于2001-2014相关统计数据，从流量变化趋势、流量位序变化、流质演化和流量与流质匹配度四个方面研究了中部六省入境旅游流流量与流质演化特征。结果表明：六省入境旅游流量规模均呈波动爆发式增长态势，但各省入境旅游流质下降严重，2014年大多在0.5上下波动，表明入境旅游流质量整体持续变差。前三位省份位序竞争在2007年后变得较为激烈，安徽入境旅游发展竞争优势逐渐显现，而湖南入境旅游发展波动性较大。六省入境旅游流量
2、与流质匹配度转型较差，同步双高型省份消失，正向偏离型省份增多。中部六省应在区域旅游合作背景下，谋求差异化发展战略提升入境旅游流质量。关键词：入境旅游流；流量；流质；演化特征；中部六省中图分类号：F590文献标志码：文章编号：EvolutionResearchonQuantityandQualityofInboundTourismFlowof6ProvincesinCentralChinaSHIZhang-yu(SchoolofresourceandenvironmentAnqingNormalUniversity,Anqing246133Anhui)Abstract：Ce
3、ntralregionrisingplanisamajorstrategicdecision,andthedevelopmentofinboundtourismof6provincesinCentralChinaisanimportantpartoftheplan.Sustainable,balanced,large-scaleandhighqualityinboundtourismflowisofgreatsignificancetothedevelopmentof6provincesinCentralChina.Basedonthe2001-2014relevants
4、tatisticaldata,thepaper,fromchangetrendoftourismflowquantity,Sequencechangeoftourismflowquantity,tourismflowqualityevolutionandthequantityandqualityoftourismflowmatchingdegree,studiedtheevolutioncharacteristicsofthequantityandqualityofinboundtourismflowof6provincesinCentralChina.Theresult
5、sasfollows:Inboundtourismflowof6provincesshowedafluctuatingandexplosivegrowingtrend,butthequalityofinboundtourismflowdeclinedseriously,thequalityindexofinboundtourismflowin2014movesmostlyaround0.5,whichindicatesinboundtourismflowqualityof6provincesispoorasawhole.Sequencecompetitionofthefi
6、rstthreeprovincesafter2007becomesmoreintense,Anhuiprovincealwaysranksthefirst,whichrevealsgraduallythecompetitiveadvantageofinboundtourismdevelopment,yetinboundtourismdevelopmentofHunanprovincefluctuatesgreatly.thematchingdegreetransformationofthequantityandqualityofinboundtourismflowof6p
7、rovincesispoor,synchronousdoublehighprovincesdisappearing,positivedeviationprovincesincreasing.Underthebackgroundofregionaltourismcooperation,6provincesinCentralChinashouldestablishcoordinationandcommunication,cooperationandwin-winmechanismassoonaspossible,signresou
