城乡居民收入分配及城镇化对总消费的影响研究

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1、城乡居民收入分配及城镇化对总消费的影响研宄摘要：城乡收入分配对总消费的影响，受制于城镇化水平的高低。建立考虑人口因素的城乡收入分配影响总消费模型，分析我国农村居民收入占总收入比重以及城镇化率与总消费的关系，结果表明：我国农村居民收入比重的扩大和城镇化率的提高都有助于扩大我国居民总消费，但城镇化率超过一定水平时不利于城乡收入分配调节。因此，基于我国城乡收入差距大且农村收入比重下降的情况，我国扩大内需的战略选择应是：先调整收入分配结构，增加农村居民收入比重，提高农村居民工资性收入，从而提高总体消费水平；再在此基础上提高城镇化率，进一步增加总消费。关键词：城乡收入分配，城镇化率；居民总消费；城市

2、居民消费；农村居民消费；边际消费倾向；农村居民收入比重；扩大内需中图分类号：F014.5；F123.16文献标志码：A文章编号：1674-8131(2011)05-0013-06ResearchontheInfluenceofUrbanandRuralInhabitantsIncomeDistributionandUrbanizationonTotalConsumption—TheoreticalModelandEmpiricalAnalysisbyConsideringPopulationFactorQIANDong-ping(YangtzeUpriverEconomicResearch

3、Center,ChongqingTechnologyandBusinessUniversity,Chongqing400067,China)Abstract:Theimpactofurbanandruralincomedistributionontotalconsumptionisinfluencedbyurbanizationlevel.Throughsettingupthemodeloftotalconsumptioninfluencedbyurbanandruralincomedistributionandbyconsideringpopulationfactor,byanalyzi

4、ngtheratioofChina’sruralresidentsincometototalincomeandtherelationshipbetweenurbanizationrateandtotalconsumption,theresultsindicatethattheenlargementofratioofChina’sruralresidentsincomeandtheurbanizationisconducivetoexpandtheconsumptionoftheresidentsbutisnothelpfultourbanandruralincomedistribution

5、adjustmentwhenurbanizationratesurpassesacertainlevel.Thus,basedontheconditionofbiggapbetweenurbanandruralinhabitantsincomeandthedecreaseoftheratioofruralincometototalincomeinChina,thestrategicchoiceforChinatoexpanddomesticdemandistofirstlyadjustincomedistributionstructure,toincreasetheratioofrural

6、residentsincomeandtoincreasewageincomeofruralinhabitantssoastopromotetotalconsumptionlevel,basedonthis,tofurtherimproveurbanizationrateforfurtherincreasingtotalconsumption.Keywords:urbanandruralincomedistribution;urbanizationrate;inhabitantstotalconsumption;urbanresidentsconsumption;ruralinhabitan

7、tsconsumption;margingalconsumptiontrend;ruralresidentsincomerate;domesticdemandenlargement一、引吾金融危机后，我国意识到了扩大内需的重要。在扩大内需的时候人们首先想到了庞大的农村市场，因为农村居民收入水平低，社会保障水平也低，这就造成了农村居民消费有很大的提升空间，因此家电下乡、汽车下乡等措施都旨在提高农村居民的消费水平，从而提高全