电脑模拟能够预测未来地震

电脑模拟能够预测未来地震

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时间:2018-10-17

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1、电脑模拟能够预测未来地震  ComputerSimulationsMightPredictFutureEarthquakes  GeologistssaytheyknewalargeearthquakewascominginSouthAsia,buttheydidnotknowwhen.  TheHimalayanMountainswereformedsome150millionyearsagoafterthelandmassthatisnowIndiabrokeofffromAntarctica,driftednorthandcollidedwi

2、ththerestofAsia.  ScientistssaytheSouthAsianlandmassisstillmovingtowardsNorthAsiaattherateofabouttwocentimetersayear,makingtheareapronetoearthquakes.  HarleyBenzisaresearcherattheGeologicalSurveyearthquakeinformationcenter.  HarleyBenz:It’sabroadzoneofdeformation,andacrossthis

3、zonethatextends1,000kilometers,youhaveawholeseriesoffaultsandfolds.  Anotherearthquake-proneregionisalongthe1300kilometerSanAndreasFaultinCalifornia.  ItisherethatJohnRundle,aphysicsandengineeringprofessorattheUniversityofCaliforniaatDavis,istestinghisearthquakecomputersimulat

4、ion.  JohnRundle:Youtakethesesimulations,youturnthemon,yourunthemandyoudoasgoodajobaspossibleinsimulatingorrepresentingthepasthistoryofactivityonthefaultsystems.  Dr.Rundleusesinformationfromtoolssuchasglobalpositioningsatellitestocreateavirtualrealitymodelofthousandsofyearsof

5、earthquakeactivityalongtheSanAndreasFault.Hesaysthatinthefuture,thiscomputermodelmaybeabletopredictsomeearthquakesjustashurricanepathsarenowforecast.  JohnRundle:Ourgoalistobeabletomakeforecastsonthatkindoftimescaleandthentoimproveittothepointwherewe’reactuallyabletoseetheprep

6、arationprocessinthemonthsandyearortwoleadinguptoalargeearthquake.  Dr.Rundlesaysthatseveraldecadesfromnow,onethirdoftheworld’spopulationcouldliveinseismicallyactiveregions.Hehopesthatbythen,thevirtualrealitysoftwarewillhelppreventtheheavylossoflifecausedbytragediessuchastheSou

7、thAsiaearthquake.  LetaHongFincher,VOAnews.  landmassn.大陆  Antarctican.南极洲  deformationn.变形  simulationn.模拟  seismicallyadv.地震地

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