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ID:20893023
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页数:3页
时间:2018-10-17
《电脑模拟能够预测未来地震》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在应用文档-天天文库。
1、电脑模拟能够预测未来地震 ComputerSimulationsMightPredictFutureEarthquakes GeologistssaytheyknewalargeearthquakewascominginSouthAsia,buttheydidnotknowwhen. TheHimalayanMountainswereformedsome150millionyearsagoafterthelandmassthatisnowIndiabrokeofffromAntarctica,driftednorthandcollidedwi
2、ththerestofAsia. ScientistssaytheSouthAsianlandmassisstillmovingtowardsNorthAsiaattherateofabouttwocentimetersayear,makingtheareapronetoearthquakes. HarleyBenzisaresearcherattheGeologicalSurveyearthquakeinformationcenter. HarleyBenz:It’sabroadzoneofdeformation,andacrossthis
3、zonethatextends1,000kilometers,youhaveawholeseriesoffaultsandfolds. Anotherearthquake-proneregionisalongthe1300kilometerSanAndreasFaultinCalifornia. ItisherethatJohnRundle,aphysicsandengineeringprofessorattheUniversityofCaliforniaatDavis,istestinghisearthquakecomputersimulat
4、ion. JohnRundle:Youtakethesesimulations,youturnthemon,yourunthemandyoudoasgoodajobaspossibleinsimulatingorrepresentingthepasthistoryofactivityonthefaultsystems. Dr.Rundleusesinformationfromtoolssuchasglobalpositioningsatellitestocreateavirtualrealitymodelofthousandsofyearsof
5、earthquakeactivityalongtheSanAndreasFault.Hesaysthatinthefuture,thiscomputermodelmaybeabletopredictsomeearthquakesjustashurricanepathsarenowforecast. JohnRundle:Ourgoalistobeabletomakeforecastsonthatkindoftimescaleandthentoimproveittothepointwherewe’reactuallyabletoseetheprep
6、arationprocessinthemonthsandyearortwoleadinguptoalargeearthquake. Dr.Rundlesaysthatseveraldecadesfromnow,onethirdoftheworld’spopulationcouldliveinseismicallyactiveregions.Hehopesthatbythen,thevirtualrealitysoftwarewillhelppreventtheheavylossoflifecausedbytragediessuchastheSou
7、thAsiaearthquake. LetaHongFincher,VOAnews. landmassn.大陆 Antarctican.南极洲 deformationn.变形 simulationn.模拟 seismicallyadv.地震地
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