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1、·质量管理·标 准 科 学2018年第4期基于点-线-面的城市燃气行业安全风险评估分级标准研究(I)—— 指标体系分析张 慧1吕 慧2季学伟1朱 伟2王 倩3吴爱枝1(1.北京市安全生产科学技术研究院;2.北京城市系统工程研究中心;3.首都经济贸易大学安全科学与环境工程学院)摘 要:针对目前城市燃气风险评估分级主要集中在系统的某一个方面,如燃气管网、门站和室内燃气管道的专门研究,缺乏对完整的城市燃气输配系统的风险评估分级标准的探讨的问题,本文基于“点-线-面”风险分析框架,以燃气门站、管线和小
2、区为研究对象,从评估对象的固有风险和动态风险入手,通过“人-物-环-管”系统分析,建立了3套燃气风险可能性指标体系和一套后果严重性指标体系,并采用层次分析法确定了各指标的权重,为燃气行业风险评估分级奠定基础,对燃气行业风险评估分级方法的标准化提供参考。关键词:城镇燃气,点-线-面,安全风险,风险评估,指标体系DOI编码:10.3969/j.issn.1674-5698.2018.04.033Study on Classification Criteria of Safety Risk Assessment
3、for Gas Industry inBeijing Based on Point-Line-Surface Index System AnalysisZHANG Hui1LV Hui2JI Xue-wei1ZHU Wei2 WANG Qian3WU Ai-zhi1(1.Beijing Research Center of Urban System Engineering ;2.Beijing Academy of Safety Science and Technology;3.Safety and
4、 Environmental Engineering of School, Capital University of Economics and Business)Abstract: In view of the current urban gas risk assessment research mostly focusing on one aspect of the system, such asspecial research on gas pipe network, gate station an
5、d indoor gas pipeline, lacking risk assessment classification methodfor a complete urban gas transmission and distribution system. Based on the "point-line-face" risk analysis framework,the gas gate station, pipeline and community as the research object, s
6、tarting from the inherent risk and dynamic risk of theassessment object, through the "human-object-environment-management" system analysis, this paper establishes threesets of gas risk probability index system and a set of consequence severity index system
7、, and determines the weight of eachindex by AHP, which lays the foundation for the classification of gas industry risk assessment and provides reference for thestandardization of gas industry risk assessment classification method.Keywords: urban gas, point
8、-line-face, safety risk, risk assessment, index system基金项目:本文受北京市科委科技计划项目(课题编号:Z161100001116081)资助。作者简介:张慧,北京市优秀青年工程师,硕士研究生,主要研究方向涉及大数据、(VR)技术、城市运行风险等。1542018, No.4STANDARD SCIENCE·Quality Management·甚至造成不良