chande, tushar - technical analysis - how to develop and imp

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1、BeyondTechnicalAnalysisBeyondTechnicalAnalysis:HowtoDevelopandImplementaWinningTradingSystemTusharS.Chande,PhDJohnWiley61Sons,Inc.NewYork•Chichester•Brisbane•Toronto•Singapore•WeinheimThistextisprintedonacid-freepaper.Copyright©1997byTusharS.Chande.PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.D

2、ataScramblingisatrademarkofTusharS.Chande.TradeStadon,SystemWriterPlus,andPowerEditoraretrademarksofOmegaResearch,Inc.ExcelisaregisteredtrademarkofMicrosoftCorporation.ContinuousContractorisatrademarkofTechTools,Inc.PortfolioAnalyzerisatrademarkofTomBerry.Allrightsreserved.Printe

3、dsimultaneouslyinCanada.ReproductionortranslationofanypartofthisworkbeyondthatpermittedbySection107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyrightActwithoutthepermissionofthecopyrightholderisunlawful.RequestsforpermissionorfurtherinformationshouldbeaddressedtothePermissionsDepartmentofJohnWi

4、ley&Sons.Thispublicationisdesignedtoprovideaccurateandauthoritativeinformationinregardtothesubjectmattercovered.Itissoldwiththeunderstandingthatthepublisherisnotengagedinrenderinglegal,accounting,orotherprofessionalservices.Iflegaladviceorotherexpertassistanceisrequired,theservic

5、esofacompetentprofessionalpersonshouldbesought.LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicatonData:Chande,TusharS.,1958-Beyondtechnicalanalysis:howtodevelop&implementawinningtradingsystem/TusharS.Chande.Includesindex.ISBN0-471-16188-8(cloth:alk.paper)1.Investmentanalysis.I.Tide.II.Series

6、.HG4529.C4881997332.6—dc2096-34436PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica1098765432ContentsPrefacexiAcknowledgmentsxiii1DevelopingandImplementingTradingSystems1Introduction1TheUsualDisclaimer3WhatIsaTradingSystem?3Comparison:DiscretionaryversusMechanicalSystemTrader4WhyShouldYouUseaTra

7、dingSystem?5RobustTradingSystems:TOPSCOLA6HowDoYouImplementaTradingSystem?7WhoWins?WhoLoses?8BeyondTechnicalAnalysis92PrinciplesofTradingSystemDesign11Introduction11WhatAreYourTradingBeliefs?12SixCardinalRules14Rule1:PositiveExpectation15Rule2:ASmallNumberofRules17viiiContentsRul

8、e3:RobustTradingRules22Rule4:TradingMult