索罗斯经典着作-金融炼金术 英文版george soros-the alchemy of finance

索罗斯经典着作-金融炼金术 英文版george soros-the alchemy of finance

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1、,THEALCHEMYREADINGTHEMINDOFTHEMARKETGEORGESOROSNEWPREFACEFOREWORDBYPAULTUDORJONES11,crP*JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.NewYorkChichesterBrisbaneTorontoSingapore'TOSUSAN,withoutwhomthisbookwouldhavebeenreadymuchsoonerAnumberofpeoplehavereadallorpartofthemanuscriptatvari-ousstagesofitsdevelo

2、pment.Theyaretoonumeroustobelisted,butIwanttothankthemallfortheirhelpandcriticism.ByronWien,inparticular,hasgonebeyondthecallofdutyinreadingandcommentingon,themanuscriptatthreedifferentstagesofdevelop-ment.SpecialthanksareduetoAntonioFoglia,whogeneratedthegraphicsthatillustrate

3、thereal-timeexperiment.LarryChiarellosuppliedthefigures.Ialsowanttothanktheteamthatcontributedtotheperform-anceofQuantumFundduringtheexperiment:BillEhrman,GaryGladstein,TomLarkin,RobertMiller,StevenOkin,JoeOrofino,StephenPlant,AllanRaphael,andAnneStires.'ICONTENTSForeword1Prefa

4、ce4:Introduction11IPartITHEORY1.TheTheoryofReflexivityAnti-equilibrium27TheProblemofImperfectUnderstanding31TheProblemoftheSocialSciences34eTheParticipants'Bias40TheConceptofReflexivity41ReflexivityversusEquilibrium432.ReflexivityintheStockMarket3.ReflexivityintheCurrencyMarket

5、4.TheCreditandRegulatoryCyclePartI1HISTORICALPERSPECTIVE5.TheInternationalDebtProblem6.TheCollectiveSystemofLending7.Reagan'slmperialCircle8.EvolutionoftheBankingSystem9.The"Oligopolarization"ofAmericaviAppendixPartI11THEREAL-TIMEEXPERIMENT10.TheStartingPoint:August198511.Phase

6、1:August1985-December198512.ControlPeriod:January1986-July198613.Phase2:July1986-November198614.TheConclusion:November1986PartIVEVALUATION15.TheScopeforFinancialAlchemy:AnEvaluationofItheExperiment16.TheQuandaryoftheSocialSciencesPartVPRESCRIPTION17.FreeMarketsVersusRegulation1

7、8.TowardaninternationalCentralBankExchangeRates328InternationalDebt329Oil333AnInternationalCurrency33819.TheParadoxofSystemicReform20.TheCrashof'87Epilogue361Notes366Appendix368II1FOREWORDFourhundredseventy-threemilliontoone.ThosearetheoddsagainstGeorgeSoroscompilingtheinvestme

8、ntrecordhedidasthemabgerofthe~uantumFundfrom1968throug

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