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1、APositiveStudyontheRelationsbetweentheDegreeofDualityandtheEconomicGrowthRateofGuangdongAbstract:Inthispaper,applyco-integrationanalysis,classicalGrangercausalitytestandnon-classicalGrangercausalitytestbasedonerror-correctmodelonthedegreeofeconomicdu

2、alityandtheeconomicgrowthrateofGuangdongfrom1978-2008・Theconclusion:theco-integrationrelationshipisrevealedbetweenthe(wovariables,thereisaunidirectionalGrangercausalityrelationshipfromthedegreeofeconomicdualityandtheeconomicgrowthrateinlongterm,andab

3、idirectionalGrangercausalityrelationshipinshort(erm.Thoseshowsthatthedegreeofeconomicdualityisalong-terminfluencingfactorofeconomicgrowthrateofGuangdong,theyinterdependinshorttermKeywords:Guangdong;dualeconomy;economygrowthrate;co-integration;Granger

4、causality.1INTRODUCTIONW.A.Lewis,aUKeconomist,wastheonetoproposethedualeconomytheory.Hestudiedthedevelopmentprocessofdevelopingeconomies;foundthatadevelopingeconomyiscomposedoftwosectors,i.c.atraditionalagriculturesectorandamodernindustrialsector.Iti

5、sthedevelopmentprocessofdevelopingeconomiesthatthegrowthofmodernindustrialsectorabsorbsthesurpluslaborintraditionalagriculturesector,andheterogeneousdualstructurechangesintohomogeneousunitarystructure・JohnC.H.FciandG.RanisdevelopedLewistheory,present

6、edthatthegrowthofmodernindustrialsectormustpromotetheproductivityoftraditionalagriculturesectortogether,thentraditionalagriculturesectorandmodernindustrialsectordevelopsynchronously・Thearticlefocusesonthepositiveanalysisintherelationsbetweenthedegree

7、ofeconomicdualityandtheeconomicgrowthrateofGuangdong・Thefollowinghypothesesaretestedandanalyzedthroughthepositiveanalysis:sincethereformandopening-up,therapidcrindustry-dominatednationaleconomygrowth,thehigherthedegreeofeconomicduality.Ifthetrendwill

8、benotreverseduntiltheturningpointofthedegreeofeconomicduality,itwillbeshowobviouslyastablequantitativeinterdependentrelationbetweenthemthroughthepositiveanalysis・Ifthereisnotsuchstablerelation,thenitisnecessarythatitisfurtherdiscussedwhethertheturnin