资源描述：
《11 Heartland Magazine 2005 03 CHINDIA The 21st Century Challenge》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。
1、CHINDIATHE21stCENTURYCHALLENGE3•2005contentsn.3/20052EditorialCHINAANDINDIAORCHINDIA?4MargheritaPAOLINI–TheGiantsTaketheField10RyanFLOYD–SeducingDelhi16BarryDESKER–Capt.HookjoinsAl-QaedaintheMalaccaStraits23AjaiSAHNI–Nepal,theAgonyoftheAncienRégimeCHINA33FabrizioVIELMINI–Re
2、buildingtheSilkRoad(s)35WangXIAODONG–ChineseNationalismManifesto48SilviaSARTORI–HowChinaSeesIndiaandtheWorld59FrancescoSISCI–RedShadowsOvertheYellowSeaINDIA64P.M.KAMATH–India-China-Pakistan:TheInsecurityTriangle73KanwarPalSinghGILL–IndiaisTiredoftheClashofCivilizations81Man
3、asPAUL–InMongolianIndiaEthnicGuerrillaRages88HiranmoyKARLEKAR–IfBangladeshBecomesaTalibanState93AUTHORSstCHINDIA,THE21CENTURYCHALLENGEEDITORIALTheSecretofPansakIthasyettobeginandalreadyitmustn’tbe.Throughouttheworldthemediahasdeterminedthatthiswillbethe“Asiancentury”.Bytheb
4、eginningofthenewmillenniumitbecamefashionabletoevoketheChinaofmiracles,nowjoinedbyIndia.Theslogan-makerscoinedanewterm:Chindia,theSino-Indiancentaurofnearlytwoandahalfbillionpeoplepredestinedforglobalhegemony.Somewithalarm,somewithhope,somejusttofollowthecurrent;economists,
5、journalistsandpoliticiansroutinelyrattleoffthestandardpredictionsforAsia’ssupplantingtheWest.Bymid-century,theeconomyofChindiacouldequalthatoftherestoftheplanet,withalockonthedevelopmentofleadingtechnologies—instrumentofcontrol.AccordingtotheAmericanfuturologistsattheNation
6、alIntelligenceCouncil,theannushorribiliswillbe2040,whentheChineseGDPsurpassesAmerica’swhileIndiawillreachthirdplacein2030,overtakingJapanandGermany.RecentCIAanalysesalreadyputtheChineseGDPatsecondplace,atleastintermsofpurchasingpowerparity.Thustheanticipateddatewouldactuall
7、ybe2015.Norisitjusttheeconomy.Atplayisglobalpower.Soonerorlater,Americawillnolongerbetheonlyoneincommand,assumingthat’showitstandstoday.Thecompetitionisopentodeterminewhowilljoin,andperhapssucceed,itas“hyperpower”.CandidatenumberoneisChina,especiallyifitmanagestodrawIndiaan
8、dagoodpartofAsiaintoitsorbit.IftheMiddleKingdomistheanti-America,theIndiangiantist
