2010.05.18-AirSea-Battle-Slides

《2010.05.18-AirSea-Battle-Slides》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。

1、1AIRSEABATTLEMAY18,2010JANVANTOLMARKGUNZINGERANDREWKREPINEVICHJIMTHOMASPRESENTATIONOVERVIEW2WHYAIRSEABATTLE?THINKINGABOUTANASBCONCEPTOPERATIONALCHALLENGESPOTENTIALELEMENTSFORACONCEPTOFOPERATIONSSUMMARYANDCONCLUSIONS3WHYAIRSEABATTLE?BACKGROUND4CSBA’sResearchandAnalysisTheCh

2、allengestoUSNationalSecurityDefensePlanningfortheLongHaulChartingaCourseforTomorrow’sFleetAnAirForceStrategyfortheLongHaul7DeadlyScenariosThePentagon’sWastingAssetsWhyAirSeaBattle?WHYAIRSEABATTLE?5Proliferationofanti-access/area-denialcapabilitiesthreatenstraditionalUSmeth

3、odsofprovidingforwardpresenceandprojectingpowerEastAsiaandtheWesternPacificanareaofenduringvitalUSinterestTheUShaslongstandingsecuritycommitmentsthroughouttheregionTheMostStressfulCasePLAdevelopinganadvancedanti-access/area-denial(A2/AD)networkandassociatedcapabilitiesthre

4、atenregionalstabilityandsecurityBottomLineCurrenttrendssuggestthatunlessoffsettingactionsaretakenbytheUnitedStatesanditsallies,overthenextdecadethemilitarybalanceintheWPTOwillbecomebothunfavorableandunstableTHEPEOPLE’SLIBERATIONARMY6“WeshouldnotmechanicallyfollowtheU.S.the

5、ory”“[W]eshouldnottrytomeetanewchallengebyrunningafterothers”“Weshouldtrytocreateourownsuperiority”“Combinewesterntechnologywitheasternwisdom.Thisisourtrumpcardforwinninga21stcenturywar”“Theothersidemaybestrong,buttheyarenotstronginallthings…andoursidemaybeweak,butwearenot

6、weakinallthings”Beextremelysubtle,eventothepointofformlessness.Beextremelymysterious,eventothepointofsoundlessness.Therebyyoucanbethedirectoroftheopponent'sfate.Towinone100victoriesin100battlesisnottheacmeofskill.Tosubduetheenemywithoutfightingistheacmeofskill.SHASHOUJIAN:

7、“THEASSASSIN’SMACE”7ThePLA’seffortstoshiftthemilitarybalancebegantoaccelerateafterthe1995-96TaiwanCrisisShashoujian—ancientChinesehandmacesthatcouldbeconcealedandemployedwithlittleornowarningInthelate1990s,numerousarticlesespouseshashoujianasthebestwaytoconfronttheUSmilita

8、ryPRCstrategistsrefertoshashoujiancapabilitiesand“combatmethods”asthosepowerfulenoughtode