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1、最新财经资讯第56期(总第166期)国际司2014-4-14目录一、全球1.近28亿新中产人士可能重陷贫困2.联合国气候研究:仍有时间拯救世界3.投资新兴市场十大风险二、美欧1.美中如何治愈“相互依赖症”?2.欧洲央行着手制定量化宽松政策路线图三、亚洲1.亚洲经济高增长带来的难题2.中国暗示为经济增长创新低做准备26FragileMiddle:2.8bnpeopleonthebrinkFT
2、April14,2014Muljoko,a27-year-oldcleanerwhoworksinoneofJakarta’sgleaming
3、officetowers,hasallthetrappingsofanewlymintedmemberofthemiddleclass.Heownsamotorcycle,slingsaSonysmartphoneandhasafuturistic-lookingphone-watchstrappedtohiswristthatheusestotextfriendsduringworkinghours.Heisinfinitelybetteroffthanwhenhewasgrowingupinanimpoverishedfarm
4、ingvillageinsouthernSumatra.Likemillionsaroundtheworldoverthepastthreedecades,MuljokohasrisenoutofpovertyandisnowaproudmemberofAsia’semergingurbanmiddleclass.Andyet,acloserlookathisfinances–andhisaspirations–revealsthathisplaceinthemiddleclassismuchmorefragilethanitse
5、ems.MuljokoearnsJakarta’sminimumwageofRp2.4mamonth,meaninghelivesofftheequivalentof$7aday.Roughlyhalfofthatgoestopayforfoodandthesmallboarding-houseroomheshareswithhisyoungerbrother.Aftercoveringfuelandmaintenancecostsforthemotorbike,heisleftwithaslittleasRp500,000($4
6、4)–orlessthan$1.50aday–tocoveranydiscretionaryspending,sendmoneyhometohisfamilyinSumatra,orsaveforanall-importantwedding.ItisnowonderMuljokofretsaboutthefuture.Heworriesaboutwhathewoulddoifhewereconfrontedwithafamilymedicalemergencyandhowhisearningswouldstretchifhewer
7、etomarryandhaveafamily.BytheAsianDevelopmentBank’sstandarddefinitionofmiddleclass–earningbetween$2and$20aday–Muljokoisamemberingoodstanding.Yethefeelsanythingbut.“Idon’tfeelsecure,”hesays.Inthat,theyoungIndonesianisemblematicofagroupincreasinglyinfocusasemergingeconom
8、iesslow.Forallthetalkofanewmiddleclass,Muljokoisinfactpartofwhatisbetterdescribedastheworld’sfragilemiddle:thealmost3bnpeopleinthedevelopingworldsurvivingon26between$2and$10perday,puttingthemabovethepovertylinebutoftenstillstrugglingforthefinancialsecuritythatisamiddl
9、eclasshallmark.Thereisnodoubttheworldislesspoorthanitoncewasorthatdecadesofrapidgrowthhavecreatedmillionsofconsumersaroundth