《上研究体系的建立》PPT课件

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1、企业研究体系的建立和管理期货市场的参与者现货企业套保业务----规避价格风险投机商承担价格风险指数基金资产配置为什么研究?帮助交易决策帮助制定套保方案有针对性的建立研究体系企业的商业模式决定企业的研究体系投入和产出专业现货企业的研究体系研究体系和管理十分简单研究目的十分明确研究人员数量少,分工协作比较简单多品种现货企业的研究体系品种分工详细不同品种研究间分工协作公共的研究领域统一协作研究目的多样化管理基金的研究体系品种分工详细不同品种研究间分工协作公共的研究领域统一协作但每个品种的研究不十分精细研究人员应该具备的素质严谨想象力好奇心

2、中立研究方法---平衡表研究方法案头工作---分析历史、预测未来搜集和评价历史数据分析历史趋势市场调查农户调查农地调查工业生产调查USDAU.S.CottonBalanceSheet000480lbbalesUSDAU.S.SUPPLYANDDEMANDREPORT:COTTON2004/05MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULBGNSTOCKS3.603.603.603.603.503.513.513.513.513.513.513.513.513.513.51PRODUCTI

3、ON17.6017.6018.0020.1820.9021.5422.5422.8223.0123.0123.0123.0823.2523.2523.25TTLSUPPLY21.2421.2421.6423.8224.4425.0926.0926.3626.5626.5626.5526.6326.7926.7926.76MILLUSE5.805.805.805.906.106.106.106.206.206.306.306.306.306.306.25EXPORTS11.5011.5011.3012.0012.2012.3012.5

4、012.5012.7013.0013.2013.2013.4013.0013.30TTLUSE17.3017.3017.1017.9017.9017.9017.9018.7018.9019.3019.5019.5019.7019.3019.55UNACCOUNTED0.040.040.040.020.04-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.05-0.05-0.050.03-0.01-0.01-0.01ENDSTOCKS3.903.904.505.906.106.707.507.707.707.307.107.107.107.507.

5、20COUTTOUSE0.2250.2250.2630.3300.3410.3740.4190.4120.4070.3780.3640.3640.3600.3890.368AVGPRICE63.2153.2046.1547.0850.8947.3246.0444.3745.9645.6251.1154.3653.0747.9651.182003/04MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULBGNSTOCKS6.205.905.805.505.405.385.385.395.385.3

6、85.385.395.385.385.38PRODUCTION17.2017.2016.6017.1016.9417.5618.2218.2218.2218.2218.2218.2218.2618.2618.26TTLSUPPLY23.4523.1522.4522.6522.3922.3923.6523.6523.6623.6623.6623.6623.6923.6923.69MILLUSE7.307.206.806.606.606.406.206.206.206.206.306.306.306.306.30EXPORTS11.50

7、11.5011.8011.8012.0012.0013.2013.2013.2013.2013.8013.8013.8013.8013.80TTLUSE18.8018.7018.6018.4018.6018.6019.4019.4019.4019.4020.1020.1020.1020.1020.10UNACCOUNTED-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.000.000.010.010.010.01-0.01-0.01-0.01ENDSTOCKS4.704.503.904.303.804.604.254

8、.254.254.253.553.553.603.603.60COUTTOUSE0.2500.2410.2100.2340.2040.2470.2190.2190.2190.2190.1770.1770.1790.1790.179AV