建筑安全事故成因分析及预警管理研究

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1、天津财经大学博士学位论文建筑安全事故成因分析及预警管理研究姓名：冯利军申请学位级别：博士专业：企业管理指导教师：李书全20080501ABSTRACTWiththedevelopmentofnationaleconomycontinuallyandsteadily,thebuildingadustryhasalreadybecometheimportantstrutindustryofnationaleconomy．Thegnornlouslvestmentsofengineeringconstructionandthecharac

2、teristicsoflabor-intensiveshavemadeuildingsafetycasualtiesandcomparativelyseriouspropertyloss．Thousandsoflaborsdieanuallybecauseofbuildingsafetyaccidentandtheeconomiclossisovertenbillionandigherthanthewesterndevelopedcountryfar．111esituationofbuildingsafetyofourcountry

3、；onlysecondtothemineanddangerouschemicalproductfield,andhasinfluencedtheastainabledevelopmentofthebuildingindustryseriously．硒egovernmentset印thetruggleobjectiveofconstructingthewell—offsocietyin16thNationalCongressof',ommunistPartyofChinaandemphasizedthatwemustpayclosea

4、ttentiontothesafetyinroductionandguaranteenationalwealthandpeople’Slife’Ssecurity．OnFebruary28，2005，leNationalSafetyProductionSupervisionandAdministrationBureauispromotedastheationalsafetyinproductionandsupervisedandmanagedthegeneralbureau．Theseituationsindicatethatbui

5、ldingsafetyproblemhasalreadycausedthegreatattentionofthetateCouncilandrelevantdepartmentatpresent．Accordingtothehigherhappeningrateofbuildingsafetyaccident，firstweanalyzetheurrentsituationofthebuildingsafetyproductionandmanagementofourcountryusingsome-．searchmeanssucha

6、sthequestionnaireandon-the—Spotinterview,etcinthispaper．Thenwenalyzetheinfluencefactorsthatcausethebuildingsafetyaccidentonthebasisofthenalysisofcurrentstudyanddrawtheconclusionthatthesefactorsarethereasonofworkers，tings，environmentandmanagement．Andweconstructthetheory

7、modelARCTM(Accident：ootCausesTracingModel)foranalyzingthebuildingsafetyaccidentaccordingtotheselctors．Itishelpfulforanalyzingtheunfavorableconstructionconditionofconstructionsite．econdly,westudythemethodofSupportVectorMachineandforecastandevaluatetheuildingsafetyaccide

8、ntusingthismethod．Accordingtoourresearchresult，weknowthatthemthodofSupportVectorMachineisfeasibletolittlesampledataof