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1、ADVANCESINCLIMATECHANGERESEARCH2(2):79{85,2011www.climatechange.cnDOI:10.3724/SP.J.1248.2011.00079POLICYFORUMStudyontheConceptofPerCapitaCumulativeEmissionsandAllocationOptionsShengminYu,XiangGao,CuimeiMa,LihuaZhaiEnergyResearchInstitute,NationalDevel
2、opmentandReformCommission,Beijing100038,ChinaAbstractGloballong-termemissionreductiontargetsneedwellde¯nedoptionsforequitableallocationofgreenhousegasemissions.Scholarsfromdevelopingcountriesputforwardtheconceptofequitablepercapitacumulativeemissionri
3、ghts.Therearefourpossibleoperationalde¯nitionsresultingfromthisconcept.Thesepotentialoptionsforallocationofemissionrightsareexpressedwithmathematicalequations.Throughsimplesimulation,thispaperrevealstheadvantages,disadvantagesandcharacteristicsofeacho
4、ption.Keywords:climatechange;globallong-termtarget;percapitahistoricalcumulativeemissionright;equitableallocationCitation:Yu,S.,X.Gao,C.Ma,etal.,2011:Studyontheconceptofpercapitacumulativeemissionsandallocationoptions.Adv.Clim.ChangeRes.,2(2),doi:10.3
5、724/SP.J.1248.2011.00079.1Introduction2007],theremainingGHGemissionspaceintheat-mosphereisarareresourceinthefuture.Therefore,TheIPCCAssessmentReportsonclimatechangecountriesarearguingagainsteachotherinthecur-andgreenhousegas(GHG)emissionshavepromotedr
6、entnegotiationsforafairandequitableaccesstothetheuniversaladoptionoftheUnitedNationsFrame-globalemissionspace.Tohelpresolvethisdispute,theworkConventiononClimateChange(1992)andtheacademiccommunityhasputforwardvariouskindsofKyotoProtocol(1997)undertheU
7、nitedNations.Theallocationproposals.Further,studiesonsharingtheultimateobjectiveoftheConventionistostabilizeburdenofemissionreductions,dominatedbyscholarsGHGconcentrationintheatmosphereatalevelthatofdevelopedcountries,contributestronglytothecur-preve
8、ntsdangerousanthropogenicinterferencewithinrentnegotiations.However,Dingetal.[2010]iden-O1theclimatesystem".Toachievethisobjective,ti¯edvariouspitfalls"andinequalitiesinsuchallo-generalconsensusintheinter-governmentalclimatecationschemes.Tosa
