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1、MakingSocialSciencesMoreScientificThispageintentionallyleftblankMakingSocialSciencesMoreScientificTheNeedforPredictiveModelsReinTaagepera13GreatClarendonStreet,OxfordOX26DPOxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford.ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinres
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6、CataloguinginPublicationDataDataavailableLibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataTaagepera,Rein.Makingsocialsciencesmorescientific:theneedforpredictivemodels/ReinTaagepera.p.cm.ISBN978–0–19–953466–11.Socialsciences–Research.2.Socialsciences–Fieldwork.3.Socialsciences–Method
7、ology.4.Sociology–Methodology.5.Sociology–Research.I.Title.H62.T222008300.72–dc222008015441TypesetbySPIPublisherServices,Pondicherry,IndiaPrintedinGreatBritainonacid-freepaperbyBiddlesLtd.,King’sLynn,NorfolkISBN978–0–19–953466–113579108642Foreword:StatisticalVersusScientificInfer
8、encesPsychologyisoneoftheheavierconsumersofstat