mungermisjudgment.pdf

mungermisjudgment.pdf

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时间:2019-03-08

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1、ThePsychologyofHumanMisjudgmenttheattitudeofDiogeneswhenheasked:“OfwhatuseisbyCharlesT.Mungeraphilosopherwhoneveroffendsanybody?”Mythirdandfinalreasonisthestrongest.IhavePREFACEfalleninlovewithmywayoflivingoutpsychologybe-causeithasbeensousefulforme.Andso,beforeIdie,

2、WhenIreadtranscriptsofmypsychologytalksgivenIwanttoimitatetosomeextentthebequestpracticesofaboutfifteenyearsago,IrealizedthatIcouldnowcre-threecharacters:theprotagonistinJohnBunyan’sPil-ateamorelogicalbutmuchlonger“talk,”includinggrimsProgress,BenjaminFranklin,andmyf

3、irstem-mostofwhatIhadearliersaid.ButIimmediatelysawployer,ErnestBuffett.Bunyan’scharacter,theknightfourbigdisadvantages.wonderfullynamed“OldValiantforTruth,”makestheFirst,thelonger“talk,”becauseitwaswrittenoutonlypracticalbequestavailabletohimwhenhesaysatwithmorelogi

4、calcompleteness,wouldbemoreboringtheendofhislife:“MyswordIleavetohimwhocanandconfusingtomanypeoplethananyearliertalk.Thiswearit.”Andlikethisman,Idon’tmindifIhavemis-wouldhappenbecauseIwoulduseidiosyncraticdefini-appraisedmysword,providedIhavetriedtoseeitcor-tionsofps

5、ychologicaltendenciesinamannerreminis-rectly,orthatmanywillnotwishtotryit,orthatsomecentofbothpsychologytextbooksandEuclid.Andwhowhotrytowielditmayfinditservesthemnot.BenreadstextbooksforfunorrevisitsEuclid?Franklin,tomygreatbenefit,leftbehindhisautobiogra-Second,bec

6、ausemyformalpsychologicalknowl-phy,hisAlmanacks,andmuchelse.AndErnestBuffettedgecameonlyfromskimmingthreepsychologytext-didthebesthecouldinthesamemodewhenheleftbooksaboutfifteenyearsago,Iknowvirtuallynothingbehind“HowtoRunaGroceryStoreandaFewThingsaboutanyacademicpsy

7、chologylaterdeveloped.Yet,inIHaveLearnedaboutFishing.”Whetherornotthislastalongertalkcontainingguesses,Iwouldbecriticizingcontributiontothegenrewasthebest,Iwillnotsay.muchacademicpsychology.ThissortofintrusionintoaButIwillreportthatIhavenowknownfourgenera-professiona

8、lterritorybyanamateurwouldbesuretobetionsofErnestBuffett’sdescendantsandthattheresultsresentedbyprofessorswhowouldrejoiceinfindingm

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