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1、LABORMARKETDYNAMICS:OneComponentofanIntegratedSystemofLaborMarketInformationJuly2002PreparedbyDavidW.Stevensdstevens@ubmail.ubalt.eduPreparedforWorkforceInformationCouncilC/oBureauofLaborStatisticsSuite40402MassachusettsAvenue,NEWashington,D.C.20212Theauthoracceptsfullresponsibi
2、lityforinterpretations,conclusionsandrecommendationsthatappearhere.TheseviewsshouldnotbeattributedtoanymemberoftheWorkforceInformationCouncil.Appreciationisexpressedtothosewhoreadandcommentedonapreviousdraftofthispaper,includingWICmembers,RosemaryHyson,andJamesSpletzer.35TABLEOF
3、CONTENTSPAGE1.0INTRODUCTION12.0ORGANIZATIONOFTHEPAPER23.0THECONCEPTOFLABORMARKETDYNAMICS3.1LaborMarketStatus,ChangeandFlow3.1.1StatusEstimates33.1.2ChangeEstimates3.1.3FlowEstimates3.2WhenisMoreDescriptiveDetailNeeded?44.0QUESTIONSTOBEANSWERED54.1The‘BigPicture’Questions64.2AFoc
4、usonFlows4.3Policy,Program,TransactionandResearchQuestionsOftenDiffer4.3.1PolicyandProgramQuestions74.3.2TransactionQuestions84.3.3ResearchQuestions94.4ASummaryStatementabouttheQuestions105.0CURRENTLABORMARKETDYNAMICSINFORMATION115.1SourcesofLaborMarketFlowsInformation125.1.1The
5、BLSLongitudinalEstablishmentDatabase(LDB)Program5.1.2TheCensusBureauLongitudinalEmployer-HouseholdDynamics(LEHD)Program1335PAGE5.1.3TheNationalDirectoryofNewHires155.1.4TheWageRecordsInterchangeSystem(WRIS)165.1.5NationalLongitudinalSurveys(NLS)5.1.6SummaryObservationsabouttheBL
6、SLDB,CensusLEHD,NationalDirectoryofNewHires,WRIS,andNLSDataSources175.1.7OtherEventTriggered,Infrequent,andState-SpecificDataSources5.2TheOneWayGatetoStatisticalUseofLaborMarketInformation5.3DoWeKnowEnoughtoIdentifyGapsinLaborMarketDynamicsInformationAvailability?186.0THEGAPS6.1
7、AReviewofLaborMarketStatuses,ChangesandFlows6.1.1TheFlows226.1.1.1JobCreationFlows236.1.1.2QuitsandOtherJobLossFlows246.1.1.3JobDestructionFlows6.1.2ConclusionsReachedAboutCurrentGapsinLaborMarketInformationFlowEstimates,From-ToPathsAssociatedwithTheseFlows,andLinkstoOtherDescri
8、ptors256.1.2.1StateLaborMarketInformationUnits6
