改革开放以来广西经济增长的研究

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1、通过对广西经济增长的研究，得到如下的结论：自1978年以来，广西经济增长是主要依靠要素投入特别是物质资本要素投入来推动的增长，人力资本与全要素生产率(TFP)对经济增长的贡献率有待提高。广西经济增长还有很大空间，只要广西采取相应的对策措施，完全能够与全国同步实现人均国内生产总值翻两番的战略目标。关键词：广西人力资本外部性生产函数模型经济增长nSTUDYONECONOMICGROWTHINGUANGXISINCETHEREFORMANDOPENINGUPABSTRACTMaintainingsteadyeconomicgrowthisthegoalpursuedbycountriesinth

2、eworldinthe21stcentury．Currently,Guangxiisfacinganunprecedentedandhistoricdevelopmentandopportunity．OpeninganddevelopmentinNorthBayEconomicZonehavebecomeanationalstrategy．ItwouldprovidegreaterdevelopmentofspaceforGuangxiaftertheChina-ASEANFreeTradeAreawasformallyestablished．Inbuildingamoderatelypr

3、osperoussociety,In2020Guangxiwillsyncquadrupledper-capitaGDPwiththenationalby2020comparedwith2000．ItrequiresmaintainingacertainrateofeconomicgrowthinGuangxi．Therefore，SdudyingGuangxi’Seconomicgrowthhasextremelyimportantpracticalsignificance．ThepaperresearchedeconomicgrowthinGuangxisincethereforman

4、dopeningupandpredictedthefutureeconomicgrowthinguangxi．Researchideas：theproductionfactorsinGuangxihavelong—termstablerelationshipbyusingeconometricknowledge．HumanCapitalExternalitiesproductionfunctionofeconomicgrowthinGuangxiCallexplaineconomicgrowthinGuangxisincethereformandopeningon．Thenthepaper

5、discussed111Guangxi’Seconomicgrowthpotentialinintemationalanddomesticsituation，theprocessofindustrializationandurbanization，esteblishedChina-ASEANFreeTradeArea，consumerdemandinnextdecade．Thepaperalsodiscussedthefuturetrendsofvariousfactorsofproductionandtotalfactorproductivityandpredictedaveragean

6、nualeconomicgrowthrateofGuangxi．Maininnovation：ManyoftheliteratureoneconomicgrowthinGuangxiusethefixedcapitalinvestmenttoreplacethephysicalcapitalstockandproductionfunctionsdonotmeettheoriginalmeaning．Inthispaper,itcalculatedthephysicalcapitalstockofGuangxisince1978．Italsocalculatedhehumancapitals

7、tockofGuangxiusingyearsofeducmionLawsince1978andprovideareferenceforthefuture．ThepaperalsoobtainedhumancapitalexternalitiesproductionfunctiononGuangxibycalculating．Conclusion：Since1978theeconomicgrowthmainlydepen