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1、黑龙江省旅游产业结构分析与优化孙晓（绥化学院黑龙江绥化152061）摘要：关键词：0引言1.黑龙江省旅游产业现状2.研究方法2.1灰色关联分析法（万美元）表黑龙江省国际旅游产业比较数列(万美元)Tab.ComparisonsequenceofintemationaltourismindustryinHeilongjiangProvine年份2002200320042005200620072008总收入（X0）交通(X1)游览(X2)住宿(X3)餐饮(X4)购物(X5）娱乐(X6)邮电通讯(X7)其他(X8)297175557.08475.474487.272525.95112
2、62.74802.361129.253476.89243644556.07389.823678.962070.949233.96657.83925.832850.59302156163.87362.582205.701752.4713717.61694.951238.824079.033404311812.93578.734425.594323.467659.682417.051429.811395.764923312948.281230.839108.113840.1714179.10984.661821.625120.236427022944.392377.996619.
3、815205.8716903.012377.992442.265270.148699526620.482609.858612.517133.5930013.281739.92957.837307.58（i=0，1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8）（t=1,2,3,4,5,6,7）X0=(1,0.82,1.02,1.15,1.66,2.16,2.93),X1=(1,0.82,1.11,2.13,2.33,4.13,4.79)X2=(1,0.82,0.76,1.22,2.59,5.00,5.49),X3=(1,0.82,0.49,0.99,2.03,1.48,1.92)X4=(1,0
4、.82,0.69,1.71,1.52,2.06,2.82),X5=(1,0.82,1.22,0.68,1.26,1.50,2.66)X6=(1,0.82,0.87,3.01,1.23,2.96,2.17),X7=(1,0.82,1.10,1.26,1.61,2.16,2.62)X8=(1,0.82,1.73,0.40,1.47,1.52,2.10)求差序列△i，得到△1=(0,0,0.09,0.98,0.67,1.97,1.86),△2=(0,0,0.25,0.07,0.93,2.84,2.56)△3=(0,0,0.53,0.16,0.37,0.69,1.01),△4=(0,
5、0,0.32,0.57,0.14,0.10,0.10)△5=(0,0,0.20,0.47,0.40,0.66,0.26),△6=(0,0,0.15,1.87,0.43,0.80,0.76)△7=(0,0,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.31),△8=(0,0,0.16,0.74,0.18,0.65,0.83)求两极差:=2.84=0取p=0.5，代入关联系数公式得：1=(1,1,0.940,0.592,0.679,0.687,0.433)2=(1,1,0.850,0.953,0.604,0.608,0.357)3=(1,1,0.728,0.899,0.793,0.962
6、,0.584)4=(1,1,0.816,0.714,0.910,1,0.934)5=(1,1,0.877,0.751,0.789,0.605,0.845)6=(1,1,0.904,0.432,0.768,0.553,0.651)7=(1,1,0.947,0.922,0.973,1.136,0.821)8=(1,1,0.899,0.657,0.888,0.711,0.631)黑龙江省国际旅游收入与各部门的关联度CorrelationbetweeninternationaltourismincomeandsectorsinHeilongjiangProvine部门交通浏览住宿餐饮
7、购物娱乐邮电通讯其他关联性0.7620.7670.8520.9110.8380.7580.9710.8272.2SSM分析法Hj,0=aij,0/Aj,0Hj,t=aij,t/Aj,tPDi=Pi+Di项目全国黑龙江省年份200220082002(%)2008(%)合计2038540843297869.95长途交通52601248751.7117.41251.4228.90游览143122024.751.6026.103.00住宿2565486044.8715.1186.139.90餐饮16603873
