计量经济学论文08年房价模型检验分析

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1、计量经济学课程论文一一一我国建筑业影响因素实证分析经济学一班马延赛32010031132一，数据选収通过网站查询，我以2010年的房价由场信息，越30个省市的数据为例进行分析。在Evicws软件中选择建立截面数据。设Y二各地区建筑业总产值（万元）X2二各地区建筑业企业从业人员（人）X4二各地区人均住宅面积（平方米）数据如下：XI二齐地区房屋竣工面积（万平方米）X3二各地区建筑业劳动生产率（元/人）X5二各地区人均可支配收入（元）建筑业总产值Y房屋竣工面积XI建筑业企业从业人员X3建筑业劳动生产率X2人均住宅面积X4人均可支配收入X5北京126985214254.80

2、0569767.0129961.024.7714013882.62天津5208402.1465.800238957.0147063.023.0957010312.91河北7799313.4748.300989317.070048.0023.167107239.060山西5401279.1313.300591276.089151.0022.996807005.030内蒙古2576575.1450.700265953.061074.0020.053107012.900吉林101707943957.100966790.082496.0020.235107240.580黑龙

3、江3469281.1626.800303837.077486.0020.705907005.170辽宁4401878.2181.300441518.068033.0020.49200667&900上海119580343609.200505185.0153910.029.3453014867.49江苏2794935417730.002727006.100569.024.435309262.460浙江3127277916183.902429352.127430.031.0233013179.53安徽6227073.4017.600910691.066407.0020.7

4、54806778.030福建5493441.2952.100553611.0108288.030.298709999.540江西3593356.2750.900574705.070826.0022.619806901.420山东148136189139.8002072530.6072&0024.480808399.910湖北6345217.3433.600932901.066056.0020.200906926.120湖南8729958.4840.8001048763.81761.0022.902807321.980河南8188402.4969.7001119106

5、.74553.0024.425807674.200广东151632428105.0001492820.101932.024.9328012380.43广西2818466.1721.600353700.077472.0024.173207785.040海南394053.0121.500061210.0055361.0023.432007259.250重庆5862095.4939.600817997.069432.0025.724408093.670四川122533748784.6002070534.59748.0026.358507041.870贵州2122907.9

6、80.3000293310.072152.0018.194306569.230云南3967957・2248.700522470.069238.0024.929407643.570西藏293427.0121.300036593.0073205.0019.929908765.450陕西4404362.1580.000410311.093212.0021.750506806.350H•肃2236860.1327.200449409.046857.0021.113806657.240新疆747325.0242.9000101501.061046.0019.105506745

7、.320青海1080546.578.700088225.0061459.0022.255006530.480宁夏3196774.1450.800203375.095835.0020.781107173.540二，相关检验由于引入的变量太多，可能存在变量间的共线性，影响方程的佔计。首先进行做多重共线性检验可以减少变量使后面的分析变得简洁。检验结果如下X1X20.9608709909X30.2713751927X40.5386972790X50.4183068002Y0.9614738426X1107446607756904195329080420.96087099