欧洲临近预报系统-Europe Nowcasting System

欧洲临近预报系统-Europe Nowcasting System

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时间:2019-05-31

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1、EuropeanNowcastingSystemsFranziskaStrauss,YongWangIntroduction•CooperationoftheEuropeanweatherservicesinNowcastingsinceJanuary2013withintheEUMETNETNowcastingActivity•EUMETNETNowcastingActivityispartoftheForecastingProgramme•TheNowcastingActivityisledbyZAMG•23participatingmembersandafewaddit

2、ionalcooperationpartners•Objectivewithinthefirstprojectphase(lastinguntil30June2014)istoprovideanoverviewof:•nowcastingsystemsandtechniqueswhichareinuseinthedifferentmemberstates•relevantobservationsandoutputsofnumericalweatherprediction(NWP)models•verificationstandardsand•thelinktotheappli

3、cation•DefinitionofNowcasting:Weatherforecastforthenext0to+6hoursofleadtimeContributionsSeveralNWSscontributedtothispresentation:•CHMI•DWD•FMI•MeteoSwiss•OMSZ•IMGW-NRI•SHMU•UKMetOfficeNowcastingsystemsandtheiroutputparameters•Nowcastingofprecipitationismostcommon•CHMI(CELLTRACK,COTREC)–inop

4、erationalusesince2007•DWD(NowCastMIX)–notinoperationaluse•MeteoSwiss(Celltracking,radar-raingaugecombination,cellintensity,NORAbasedonair-massstability,REALaboutuncertaintyinradarprecipitationmaps)–mostlyinoperationaluse•IMGW-NRI(SCENE)–inoperationalusesince2013•Someofthenowcastingsystemspr

5、ovidealsoinformationaboutotherparameters–i.e.in2d(cloudiness,radiation)and3d(temperature,humidity,wind)•ZAMG(INCA)–inoperationalusesince2005•FMI(RAVAKE:semi-operationalsince2011,LAPS:inoperationalusesince2009)•MeteoSwiss(INCA)-inoperationaluse•OMSZ(INCA-HU:inoperationalusesince2012,MEANDER:

6、since2006)•SHMU(INCA-SK):INCAsince2006•UKMetOffice•INCAisquitecommoninCentralEuropethroughtheINCA-CEproject(CEProgramme;1.4.2010-30.9.2013)andthroughbilateralcooperation(e.g.withBelgium,Israel,China,Turkey,Croatia)Inputdataandresolutionofnowcastinginformation•Nowcastingsystemsneedinformatio

7、nabout•Topography•NWPdata(global/LAM)•Surfaceobservations•Radar•Satellites(e.g.cloudcover,cloudtopheight)•Cellvectorestimates•Lightningdetection(e.g.Saphir)•Sounding•Lidar,Amdar,Metar•Roadweatherstations•NWCSAFproducts•Qualitycontrol:Stationdataconsisten

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