上市公司财务危机预警模型实证.研究

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1、AbstractWiththeestablishmentandin．depthofthesocialistmarketeconomicsystem，moreandmoreenterpriseswillfacefiercecompetitioninthemarket，howcanwekeepunbeateninthefiercemarketcompetition，isthedevelopmentandexistpreconditionofalistedcompany．Inthefiercecompetition，duetothecompl

2、exityandunpredictabilityoftheenvironmentaswellasthetransientnatureofthemarket，andthelimitationsofthelevelofqualityofdecision—makers，itmakestheriskofanobjectivetobecometheinevitable．Inreality,anumberoffactorsledtocrisis，butalargenumberofnon—financialenterprisesusuallycome

3、outintheformofthefinancialcrisis．Thefinancialcrisisismostnotabilityandcomprehensiverepresentation．Thefinancialcrisisofenterprisesisaprocessofalong—termaccumulationandtheprogressivedevelopment．Inthedevelopmentofthefinancialcrisisprocessfromsmalltolarge，thecrisiswillshowdi

4、fferentcharacteristicsofFinance．Asaresult，establishofearlyfinancialwarningsystems，diagnosethefinancialcrisissignalsassoonaspossible，andtakecorrespondingcountermeasuretoavoidordefusepotentialfinancialcrisisandrealizethesustainabledevelopmentofenterprises，safeguardingthepr

5、ofitoftherelatedhumanrightshaveagreatpracticalsignificance．Throughreviewofdomesticandintemationalfinancialcrisisearlypre—warningmodelinthefieldofclassicalliterature，summarizetheresultsofresearchandevaluation，makeuseofdataofthe120listedcompaniesestablishofpre—warningLogis

6、ticmodelanduseofthemodeloftheempiricalresultstoverifythetheoreticalassumptionofthefinancialcrisis．Inthedissertationcomposedofsevenchapters．Thefirstchaptermostlyofexpoundthelistedcompaniesfinancialcrisisinthebackgroundandsignificance，andpreviousresearchresultswerereviewed

7、evaluation；putforwardresearchideasandstepsinthisarticle．TheChapterIImostlyofexpoundstheoreticalanalysisthedefinitionofthefinancialcrisisandgivesabriefexpositionofthepre．warningtheory．ChapterIIIanalysistheChineselistedcompaniesofthecrisisisduetooperatinglossesoflistedcomp

8、anies，assetsordebtstmctureisirrational．poorcredit，poorliquidityofthecompanycapital．Thecrisiscompaniesin