风险管理系统,系统风险和信贷危机【外文翻译】

风险管理系统,系统风险和信贷危机【外文翻译】

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1、外文翻译原文RiskManagementSystems,SystemicRiskandtheCreditCrisisMaterialSource:wanfangdataknowledgeplatformAuthor:FrankMilneIamindebtedtoDavidLaidlerandFinnPoschmannforsuggestingandcommentingonthispaper.IamalsoindebtedtoJohnCreanfordiscussionsontheseissuesover

2、manyyears;andhisdetailedcommentsonearlierdrafts.IhavebenefitedfromcommentsfromtheparticipantsofthediscussionataC.D.Howeconference;andfromcommentsbyDouglasGale,PrasannaGaiandJamesThompson.TheStudyinBriefTherecentcreditmarketcrisisreflectssystem-wideproble

3、msinthetradingandhedgingofcreditrisks.ItstartedintheUSmortgagemarket,butisspreadingmoregenerallyintoothercreditmarkets.Perceivedcounter-partyrisksbetweenfinancialinstitutionshaverisen,impairingtheoperationofcreditmarkets.Itisaninternational,systemicprobl

4、em,becomingmoreseriousratherthanlessastimehaspassed.TheinteractionbetweenthefinancialandrealsectorsmayactasamultipliermechanismincreasingtheriskanddepthofarecessioninWesterneconomies.Short-runpolicyresponseswouldseecentralbanksandfinancialregulatorsmakin

5、gdifficulttrade-offsinensuringtheavailabilityofliquidityandthecontinuedfunctioningofcreditmarketsononehand,whileavoidingreinforcingthemoralhazardissuesthatareamongtherootsofthecurrentcrisis.Amidallthis,Canadaisasmallplayer,integratedintotheUSeconomy.Cana

6、dashouldacttoamelioratetheimpactofthefinancialcrisisandaccompanyingrealdownturn.ThiswillrequirecarefulcoordinationandcooperationwithUSandinternationalregulators.Inthelongrun,aseriousanalysisofthecurrentcrisisisneeded,andproperreviewofthecurrentfinancials

7、ystem’sstrengthsandweaknesses.Newregulationandriskmanagementpracticesmayberequired.Giventheamountofuncertainty8overtheseriousnessoflossesandtheimpactontherealeconomy,itremainsearlyfordrawingstrongpolicyconclusions.OverviewTherecentinternationaldebtcrisis

8、,whichemergedintheUSinthelasthalfof2007,quicklyspreadtoGermany,theUK,CanadaandAustralia,withsymptomsinothercountries.Notwithstandingwidespreadmediacommentary,therootsofthecrisisarenotentirelyclear,norareitsremedies.Thestre

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