Discrete choice analysis

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1、DiscreteChoiceAnalysisMosheBen-AkivaMichelBierlaireDenisBolducJoanWalkerSeptember8,2010Pleasedonotdistribute1DonotdistributeThisisapreliminaryandincompletedraftofatextbookondiscretechoiceanalysis,updatingthebookbyBen-AkivaandLerman(1985,MITPress).Thisdocumentcontainsadraftver

2、sionofselectedchaptersofthisbook.Pleasedonotcirculatethisdocument.WearecirculatingthisdocumentonlytotheparticipantsintheMITandEPFLDiscreteChoicecourses.Wewouldappreciateanycommentsthatyoumayhavethatwillhelpusimprovefuturedraftsoftheseandrelatedchapters.Weincludethecompletetab

3、leofcontentsbelow.However,onlythefollowingchaptersareincludedinthisdocument:•Chapter2:Simpleexample•Chapter4:Binarychoice•Chapter5:Choicewithmultiplealternatives•Chapter6:Specificationtesting•Chapter7:TheNestedLogitmodel•Chapter8:MultivariateExtremeValuemodels•Chapter9:Predict

4、ion•Chapter10:Sampling•AppendixA:Notations•AppendixC:Proofs•AppendixD:TablesTheauthorsContentsIBackground101Introduction111.1TheContextofTransportationDemandForecasting......111.2TheBackgroundofDiscreteChoiceAnalysis..........131.3TransportationApplicationsofDiscreteChoiceAna

5、lysis...141.4OutlineoftheBook........................151.5Modellingobjectives.......................161.6Scopeofthebook.........................161.6.1Typesofproblems....................161.7Outline...............................162BasicModelingandDataConcepts172.1Simpleexamp

6、le..........................182.1.1Choiceproblem......................182.1.2Survey...........................182.1.3ModelSpecification....................192.1.4ModelEstimationandTesting..............212.1.5Application........................272.2Summary......................

7、.......272.3Data................................292.4RevealedPreferences.......................292.5StatedPreferences........................292.5.1ExampleofaStatedPreferenceSurvey.........292.5.2MotivationforUsingStatedPreferencesData.....302.5.3SPApproaches.................

8、.....312.5.4PotentialSourcesofBias.................322.5.5SPIssues..