Interannual variability of winter precipitation in Southeast China (1).pdf

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1、InterannualvariabilityofwinterprecipitationinSoutheastChinaLingZhang,KlausFraedrich,XiuhuaZhu,FrankSielmann&XiefeiZhiTheoreticalandAppliedClimatologyISSN0177-798XTheorApplClimatolDOI10.1007/s00704-014-1111-5123Yourarticleisprotectedbycopyrightandallrightsareheldexclu

2、sivelybySpringer-VerlagWien.Thise-offprintisforpersonaluseonlyandshallnotbeself-archivedinelectronicrepositories.Ifyouwishtoself-archiveyourarticle,pleaseusetheacceptedmanuscriptversionforpostingonyourownwebsite.Youmayfurtherdeposittheacceptedmanuscriptversioninanyre

3、pository,provideditisonlymadepubliclyavailable12monthsafterofficialpublicationorlaterandprovidedacknowledgementisgiventotheoriginalsourceofpublicationandalinkisinsertedtothepublishedarticleonSpringer'swebsite.Thelinkmustbeaccompaniedbythefollowingtext:"Thefinalpublic

4、ationisavailableatlink.springer.com”.123Author'spersonalcopyTheorApplClimatolDOI10.1007/s00704-014-1111-5ORIGINALPAPERInterannualvariabilityofwinterprecipitationinSoutheastChinaLingZhang&KlausFraedrich&XiuhuaZhu&FrankSielmann&XiefeiZhiReceived:9September2013/Accepted

5、:26January2014#Springer-VerlagWien2014AbstractTheobservedwinter(DJF)precipitationin1IntroductionSoutheastChina(1961–2010)ischaracterizedbyamonopolepatternofthe3-monthlyStandardizedPrecipitationIndexSoutheastChinaislocatedattheboundaryofEastAsian(SPI-3)whoseinterannua

6、lvariabilityisrelatedtotheanoma-subtropicalandtropicalregionswhereweatherandclimateliesofEastAsianWinterMonsoon(EAWM)systems.disastersbringfrequentdamageinwinter.Forexample,inDynamiccompositesandlinearregressionanalysisindicate2005and2008,extremefreezingrainandsnowin

7、SouthernthattheintensityofEAWMandSiberiaHigh(SH),theChinaresultedinconsiderablelossoflife(Wenetal.2009;positionofEastAsianTrough(EAT),andElNiñoeventsZhouetal.2009a;Wuetal.2011).Furthermore,numerousandseasurfacetemperature(SST)anomaliesoverSouthstudiesreportthatwinter

8、precipitationhasincreasedsignifi-ChinaSea(SCS)influencedifferentregionsofanomalouscantlyoverSouthChinainrecentdecades(Huetal.2003;S