电力系统负荷预测及方法(外文翻译)

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1、PowersystemloadforecastingmethodsandcharacteristicsofAbstract:Theloadforecastinginpowersystemplanningandoperationplayanimportantrole，withobviouseconomicbenefits,inessence，theelectricityloadforecastingmarketdemandforecast.Inthispaper，asystematicdescri

2、ptionandanalysisofavarietyofloadforecastingmethodsandcharacteristicsandthatgoodloadforecastingforpowersystemhasbecomeanimportantmeansofmodernmanagement.Keywords:powersystemloadforecastingelectricitymarketconstructionPlanning1.IntroductionLoadforecast

3、ingdemandforelectricityfromaknownstartingtoconsiderthepolitical，economic，climateandotherrelatedfactors，thefuturedemandforelectricitytomakepredictions.Loadforecastincludestwoaspects:onthefuturedemand(power)projectionsandfutureelectricityconsumption(en

4、ergy)forecast.Electricitydemandprojectionsdecisiongeneration，transmissionanddistributionsystem,thesicofnewCapacity;powergeneratingequipmentdeterminethetypeofprediction(.suchaspeakingunits,baseloadunits,etc}.Loadforecastingpurposesistoprovideloadcondi

5、tionsandthelevelofdevelopment，whileidentifyingthevarioussupplyareas,eachyearplanningforthepowerconsumptionformaximumpowerloadandtheloadofplanningtheoveralllevelofdevelopmentofeachplanyeartodeterminetheloadcomposition.2.loadforecastingmethodsandcharac

6、teristicsof2.1UnitConsumptionActOutputofproductsinaccordancewithnationalarrangements，planningandelectricityintensityvaluetodetermineelectricitydemand.Sub-UnitConsumptionAct;ProductUnitConsumption;andthevalueofUnitConsumptionAct;two.Theprojectionofloa

7、dbeforethekeyistodeterminetheappropriatevalueoftheproductunitconsumptionorunitconsumption.JudgingfromChina’sactualsituation，thegeneralruleistheproductunitconsumptionincreasedyearbyyear，theoutputvalueunitconsumptionisdeclining.Unitconsumptionmethodadv

8、antagesarc:Themethodissimple，short-tornloadforecastingeffective.Disadvantagesarc:needtodoalotofpainstakingresearchwork,moregeneral，itisdifficulttoreflectmoderneconomic,politicalandclimateconditions.2.2TrendextrapolationWhenthepowerloadinaccordancewit